{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "12301ae6-7ae5-4df8-b1f5-4a25860b07cc",
    "symbol": "STN",
    "name": "Stantec Inc.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -49.289,
    "architecture_energy": 42.974,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.871,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.99,
        "rotation_up": 27.12,
        "upward_expansion": 18.52,
        "deceleration": 66.71,
        "rotation_down": 42.59,
        "downward_expansion": 68.52
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        99.063333,
        98.686993,
        102.683248,
        107.393191
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 102.400002,
    "trend_reference": 114.411793,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.104987,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 117.471943,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.128302,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -29.111169,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.259698,
    "excess_performance": -0.380119,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.104987,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.095824,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.128302,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.155936,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.291112,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048699,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.259698,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.305582,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2131500,
      "relative_activity": 1.185932,
      "balance": 0.305582,
      "dry_up": 1.320341,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 6
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.057835,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.31795,
      "from_high_reference": -0.357759,
      "from_low_reference": 0.09777
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 114.411793,
      "fair_value_reference": 117.471943,
      "structural_low": 93.279999,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": -0.005453,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00014,
        "regime_survival": 0.857143,
        "best_return": 0.071394,
        "worst_return": -0.147866,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.086413,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.017756,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.191191,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.011119,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.040323,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.261083,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.327548,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.233114,
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        "best_return": 0.399956,
        "worst_return": 0.255139,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
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        "return": 0.03425,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.027647,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-03-21",
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        "return": -0.04454,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1674620.0,
        "trend": 117.819917,
        "fair_value": 117.264834,
        "relative_strength": -33.068273,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.261926,
        "energy": 62.811262,
        "activity_lines": [
          98.007251,
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          105.785929,
          110.848291
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 95.129997,
        "volume": 2242000,
        "typical_volume": 1697730.0,
        "trend": 116.644827,
        "fair_value": 117.313609,
        "relative_strength": -33.953955,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.326241,
        "energy": 63.060847,
        "activity_lines": [
          97.12096,
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          104.277818,
          109.384425
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 98.93,
        "volume": 2650600,
        "typical_volume": 1757070.0,
        "trend": 115.549313,
        "fair_value": 117.378953,
        "relative_strength": -30.142876,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.435153,
        "energy": 54.298702,
        "activity_lines": [
          97.545332,
          98.077062,
          103.263014,
          108.241533
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 102.400002,
        "volume": 2131500,
        "typical_volume": 1797320.0,
        "trend": 114.411793,
        "fair_value": 117.471943,
        "relative_strength": -29.111169,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.289095,
        "energy": 42.97442,
        "activity_lines": [
          99.063333,
          98.686993,
          102.683248,
          107.393191
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}