{ "ticker": { "uuid": "123d7508-974c-4269-81bc-eec54db7ad18", "symbol": "KMIC34", "name": "Kinder Morgan, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 56.632, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 6.16, "architecture_energy": 4.768, "architecture_maturity": 5.797, "architecture_confidence": 76.998, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 64.7, "rotation_up": 32.32, "upward_expansion": 52.87, "deceleration": 52.26, "rotation_down": 20.97, "downward_expansion": 21.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 163.411273, 163.571945, 162.749283, 163.200819 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 158.880005, "trend_reference": 162.573944, "distance_from_trend": -0.022722, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 127.937347, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.241858, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.436596, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.014296, "excess_performance": 0.071344, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.022722, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043621, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.241858, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038548, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.004366, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.126839, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.014296, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.137642, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 370, "relative_activity": 1.179095, "balance": 1.137642, "dry_up": 0.581581, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039988, "annualized_volatility": 0.241432, "from_high_reference": -0.102024, "from_low_reference": 0.177549 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 162.573944, "fair_value_reference": 127.937347, "structural_low": 152.21936, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.007403, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.00449, "regime_survival": 0.533333, "best_return": 0.113804, "worst_return": -0.043445, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.055259, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.025961, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.206404, "worst_return": -0.061696, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.008994, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.026162, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.178075, "worst_return": -0.060815, "sufficient": true 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"rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.005358, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.065841, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.060324, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.082454, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.000509, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": 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-0.648929, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.082449, "energy": 19.809027, "activity_lines": [ 163.789623, 162.88513, 162.893536, 162.307584 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 162.335815, "volume": 55, "typical_volume": 302.75, "trend": 160.149572, "fair_value": 125.686673, "relative_strength": -2.654401, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.974368, "energy": 23.677606, "activity_lines": [ 163.594898, 162.97111, 162.705033, 162.494226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 163.9254, "volume": 243, "typical_volume": 309.75, "trend": 160.811251, "fair_value": 126.26354, "relative_strength": 1.01585, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.957682, "energy": 21.4486, "activity_lines": [ 163.800882, 163.23592, 162.688219, 162.737828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 163.607483, "volume": 39, "typical_volume": 292.85, "trend": 161.354522, "fair_value": 126.817435, "relative_strength": 0.939278, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.721803, "energy": 14.876715, "activity_lines": [ 163.643911, 163.265904, 162.657051, 162.91823 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 168.940002, "volume": 78, "typical_volume": 296.5, "trend": 162.085344, "fair_value": 127.411047, "relative_strength": 2.317222, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.212393, "energy": 31.499404, "activity_lines": [ 165.233979, 164.352323, 163.186192, 163.407616 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 158.880005, "volume": 370, "typical_volume": 313.8, "trend": 162.573944, "fair_value": 127.937347, "relative_strength": -0.436596, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.160319, "energy": 4.767983, "activity_lines": [ 163.411273, 163.571945, 162.749283, 163.200819 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }