{ "ticker": { "uuid": "123ec44c-ae94-4021-bd76-65cf94021f83", "symbol": "NNDM", "name": "Nano Dimension Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 85.675, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -27.252, "architecture_energy": 16.31, "architecture_maturity": 46.317, "architecture_confidence": 72.313, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.24, "rotation_up": 30.12, "upward_expansion": 20.21, "deceleration": 41.64, "rotation_down": 23.34, "downward_expansion": 54.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.544, 1.504909, 1.550048, 1.601935 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 1.63, "trend_reference": 1.675, "distance_from_trend": -0.026866, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.058301, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.208085, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.381711, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.15544, "excess_performance": -0.342894, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.026866, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034397, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.208085, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059858, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.133817, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061276, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.15544, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.7395, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12732445, "relative_activity": 0.76412, "balance": 0.7395, "dry_up": 0.850287, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.113025, "annualized_volatility": 0.476785, "from_high_reference": -0.297414, "from_low_reference": 0.369748 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.675, "fair_value_reference": 2.058301, "structural_low": 1.19, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": 0.028369, "positive_rate": 0.515152, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.007888, "regime_survival": 0.787879, "best_return": 0.280576, "worst_return": -0.268966, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.000922, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.040169, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.216667, "worst_return": -0.324468, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.0375, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.083671, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.118881, "worst_return": -0.475928, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.075829, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.004016, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.016807, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.069264, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.203791, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.157343, "active": 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1.581619, 1.639484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.55, "volume": 11049852, "typical_volume": 15577281.85, "trend": 1.683667, "fair_value": 2.085801, "relative_strength": -14.866369, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.809018, "energy": 33.696713, "activity_lines": [ 1.480667, 1.494545, 1.572619, 1.630301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.47, "volume": 24557535, "typical_volume": 16499884.2, "trend": 1.679, "fair_value": 2.074519, "relative_strength": -17.658324, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.456054, "energy": 24.734307, "activity_lines": [ 1.488667, 1.484182, 1.557571, 1.616516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.5, "volume": 8333099, "typical_volume": 16555052.25, "trend": 1.677, "fair_value": 2.06625, "relative_strength": -16.272883, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.801125, "energy": 20.67895, "activity_lines": [ 1.498667, 1.481273, 1.547048, 1.604968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.63, "volume": 12732445, "typical_volume": 16662886.6, "trend": 1.675, "fair_value": 2.058301, "relative_strength": -13.381711, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.252198, "energy": 16.309883, "activity_lines": [ 1.544, 1.504909, 1.550048, 1.601935 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }