{ "ticker": { "uuid": "123f2014-1977-4c5e-88b0-f12b1880c1c0", "symbol": "UBUS", "name": "UBS Factor MSCI USA Prime Value Screened UCITS ETF USD dis", "exchange": "AMS", "country": "NL", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AEX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.58, "architecture_energy": 69.99, "architecture_maturity": 87.067, "architecture_confidence": 67.919, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.63, "rotation_up": 55.28, "upward_expansion": 83.0, "deceleration": 71.5, "rotation_down": 29.33, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.933332, 36.841817, 36.155928, 35.575244 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 37.43, "trend_reference": 34.944672, "distance_from_trend": 0.071122, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 31.842562, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.175471, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.144014, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.102302, "excess_performance": -0.01436, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.071122, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037283, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.175471, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05386, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.01144, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019928, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.102302, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 10.859506, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13568, "relative_activity": 4.642759, "balance": 10.859506, "dry_up": 2.460649, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.012855, "annualized_volatility": 0.100885, "from_high_reference": -0.006107, "from_low_reference": 0.230059 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.944672, "fair_value_reference": 31.842562, "structural_low": 32.599998, 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"date": "2026-07-10", "close": 37.189999, "volume": 1698, "typical_volume": 1555.45, "trend": 34.479211, "fair_value": 31.606388, "relative_strength": 0.594007, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.046371, "energy": 95.095472, "activity_lines": [ 36.933, 36.337, 35.462262, 35.013874 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 36.634998, "volume": 2984, "typical_volume": 1704.65, "trend": 34.594003, "fair_value": 31.665483, "relative_strength": -1.604849, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.564858, "energy": 87.696479, "activity_lines": [ 36.908999, 36.476818, 35.633762, 35.152957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 36.57, "volume": 1066, "typical_volume": 1743.3, "trend": 34.706132, "fair_value": 31.720167, "relative_strength": -1.587417, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.158955, "energy": 84.152366, "activity_lines": [ 36.808333, 36.572272, 35.788381, 35.28044 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 36.669998, "volume": 11146, "typical_volume": 2300.6, "trend": 34.824408, "fair_value": 31.777876, "relative_strength": -2.093922, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.717282, "energy": 65.074131, "activity_lines": [ 36.731332, 36.654545, 35.941643, 35.407141 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.43, "volume": 13568, "typical_volume": 2922.4, "trend": 34.944672, "fair_value": 31.842562, "relative_strength": -1.144014, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.579977, "energy": 69.990273, "activity_lines": [ 36.933332, 36.841817, 36.155928, 35.575244 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }