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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.073, "architecture_energy": 73.026, "architecture_maturity": 72.264, "architecture_confidence": 82.214, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.61, "rotation_up": 60.85, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 68.64, "rotation_down": 28.72, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 3816.575407, 3803.146347, 3742.540831, 3682.869508 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3865.370117, "trend_reference": 3617.038281, "distance_from_trend": 0.068656, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3250.674456, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.189098, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.013967, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.103584, "excess_performance": 0.158251, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.068656, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017979, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.189098, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032107, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.05014, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.123208, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.103584, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.992188, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 310, "relative_activity": 0.017706, "balance": 6.992188, "dry_up": 0.04268, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.011111, "annualized_volatility": 0.086494, "from_high_reference": -0.009875, "from_low_reference": 0.135116 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3617.038281, "fair_value_reference": 3250.674456, "structural_low": 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3776.070068, "volume": 1823, "typical_volume": 22923.85, "trend": 3603.888167, "fair_value": 3231.616803, "relative_strength": 3.259712, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.32764, "energy": 68.244658, "activity_lines": [ 3801.304687, 3781.439608, 3707.767226, 3654.686806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3785.550049, "volume": 106, "typical_volume": 17504.6, "trend": 3610.200122, "fair_value": 3240.889796, "relative_strength": 2.804054, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.344181, "energy": 66.221783, "activity_lines": [ 3796.95804, 3786.481063, 3722.026953, 3666.406928 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3865.370117, "volume": 310, "typical_volume": 17508.4, "trend": 3617.038281, "fair_value": 3250.674456, "relative_strength": 5.013967, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.072643, "energy": 73.026222, "activity_lines": [ 3816.575407, 3803.146347, 3742.540831, 3682.869508 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }