{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1251709c-aefa-4a16-829e-821f261e010b", "symbol": "IMAX", "name": "Imax Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.177, "architecture_energy": 75.315, "architecture_maturity": 35.422, "architecture_confidence": 84.756, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.73, "rotation_up": 71.2, "upward_expansion": 87.24, "deceleration": 47.84, "rotation_down": 12.55, "downward_expansion": 18.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 45.381333, 43.400545, 41.243, 40.225161 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 48.49, "trend_reference": 39.017667, "distance_from_trend": 0.24277, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.008718, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.864375, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 18.572278, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.300697, "excess_performance": 0.175073, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.24277, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056025, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.864375, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.397174, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.185723, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.23318, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.300697, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.296929, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7468992, "relative_activity": 1.251796, "balance": 2.296929, "dry_up": 1.421744, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083498, "annualized_volatility": 0.466731, "from_high_reference": -0.060271, "from_low_reference": 1.003719 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 39.017667, "fair_value_reference": 26.008718, "structural_low": 32.71, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.021484, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.035828, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.255898, "worst_return": -0.160748, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.036112, "positive_rate": 0.818182, "directional_follow_through": 0.818182, "median_excess_return": 0.023879, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.265089, "worst_return": -0.166667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.113531, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.084243, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.490533, "worst_return": -0.263972, "sufficient": true }, { 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{ "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.047108, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.040167, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.03651, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.020467, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.109125, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": 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"typical_volume": 5856899.75, "trend": 38.539667, "fair_value": 25.822949, "relative_strength": 22.13047, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.414433, "energy": 48.87032, "activity_lines": [ 43.126, 42.128182, 40.349619, 39.583204 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.49, "volume": 7468992, "typical_volume": 5966620.75, "trend": 39.017667, "fair_value": 26.008718, "relative_strength": 18.572278, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.177412, "energy": 75.315055, "activity_lines": [ 45.381333, 43.400545, 41.243, 40.225161 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }