{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1251adf0-d880-430e-a7d2-26b42e8b828f",
    "symbol": "SIL",
    "name": "Global X Silver Miners ETF",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 70.441,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -46.479,
    "architecture_energy": 38.56,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.509,
    "architecture_confidence": 51.716,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.12,
        "rotation_up": 27.24,
        "upward_expansion": 19.2,
        "deceleration": 62.97,
        "rotation_down": 46.59,
        "downward_expansion": 69.2
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 1500.0,
    "trend_reference": 1579.595439,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.05039,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 901.739579,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.663451,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 1.407021,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.107143,
    "excess_performance": -0.052476,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.05039,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00695,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.663451,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.353722,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01407,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.131718,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.107143,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.815797,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 0.271455,
      "balance": 4.815797,
      "dry_up": 0.205672,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
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      "annualized_volatility": 0.565402,
      "from_high_reference": -0.273801,
      "from_low_reference": 0.539401
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 901.739579,
      "structural_low": 1212.01001,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "median_return": -0.013369,
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      {
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": -4.42992,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 878.72168,
        "relative_strength": -7.54293,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "energy": 77.831231,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 1255.0,
        "volume": 447,
        "typical_volume": 5629.35,
        "trend": 1596.137223,
        "fair_value": 883.790829,
        "relative_strength": -13.777342,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -82.677913,
        "energy": 84.425323,
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          1328.478158,
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          1468.55522,
          1533.688606
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1314.699951,
        "volume": 2616,
        "typical_volume": 5671.7,
        "trend": 1586.695439,
        "fair_value": 889.26072,
        "relative_strength": -9.631186,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.650933,
        "energy": 69.366379,
        "activity_lines": [
          1315.27312,
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          1447.574057,
          1515.531363
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1328.0,
        "volume": 50,
        "typical_volume": 5657.05,
        "trend": 1581.928772,
        "fair_value": 894.948867,
        "relative_strength": -9.817396,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.153098,
        "energy": 60.16302,
        "activity_lines": [
          1315.05332,
          1343.687469,
          1430.170518,
          1498.841334
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1500.0,
        "volume": 1533,
        "typical_volume": 5647.35,
        "trend": 1579.595439,
        "fair_value": 901.739579,
        "relative_strength": 1.407021,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -46.479313,
        "energy": 38.559734,
        "activity_lines": [
          1373.706657,
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          1431.131693,
          1493.555607
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}