{ "ticker": { "uuid": "12590b8d-d275-439e-b902-57c31f69cd64", "symbol": "5230", "name": "Ledlink Optics, Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 18.248, "architecture_energy": 21.42, "architecture_maturity": 23.961, "architecture_confidence": 74.577, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.38, "rotation_up": 17.12, "upward_expansion": 46.76, "deceleration": 92.98, "rotation_down": 41.61, "downward_expansion": 26.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.64, 18.624257, 18.422323, 18.013989 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 17.799999, "trend_reference": 17.601992, "distance_from_trend": 0.011249, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.211986, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.233155, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -28.25956, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.070088, "excess_performance": -0.371284, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.011249, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035213, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.233155, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068002, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.282596, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.116731, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.070088, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.237448, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 546489, "relative_activity": 0.199313, "balance": 1.237448, "dry_up": 0.353322, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.133725, "annualized_volatility": 0.508132, "from_high_reference": -0.289421, "from_low_reference": 0.216333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.601992, "fair_value_reference": 23.211986, "structural_low": 14.878049, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.008696, "positive_rate": 0.421053, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": -0.015168, "regime_survival": 0.578947, "best_return": 0.426087, "worst_return": -0.110759, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.003933, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.078273, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.473054, "worst_return": -0.123494, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.010225, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.06503, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.312, "worst_return": -0.304217, "sufficient": 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expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.391668, "energy": 24.527042, "activity_lines": [ 19.436667, 19.514767, 18.528258, 18.042423 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.35, "volume": 1624366, "typical_volume": 2755252.95, "trend": 17.609268, "fair_value": 23.259052, "relative_strength": -27.812994, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.618974, "energy": 18.687022, "activity_lines": [ 18.416667, 19.204989, 18.486092, 18.023459 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.25, "volume": 624040, "typical_volume": 2741597.0, "trend": 17.58752, "fair_value": 23.233455, "relative_strength": -29.011559, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.115526, "energy": 21.408051, "activity_lines": [ 17.806667, 18.868448, 18.428438, 18.000281 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 17.799999, "volume": 546489, "typical_volume": 2741859.95, "trend": 17.601992, "fair_value": 23.211986, "relative_strength": -28.25956, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.247537, "energy": 21.420071, "activity_lines": [ 17.64, 18.624257, 18.422323, 18.013989 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }