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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^N225", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.224, "architecture_energy": 44.514, "architecture_maturity": 78.401, "architecture_confidence": 50.723, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.78, "rotation_up": 43.17, "upward_expansion": 73.48, "deceleration": 71.45, "rotation_down": 28.48, "downward_expansion": 11.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 392.020005, 391.854548, 383.678097, 375.374 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 397.200012, "trend_reference": 365.949669, "distance_from_trend": 0.085395, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 284.727536, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.395018, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.090489, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.14368, "excess_performance": -0.065578, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.085395, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058216, "read": "Rising" 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73.78225, "energy": 86.466436, "activity_lines": [ 394.499998, 388.46909, 375.05143, 367.859264 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 386.0, "volume": 9290, "typical_volume": 10686.0, "trend": 360.451642, "fair_value": 281.377419, "relative_strength": -5.538305, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.010308, "energy": 60.059404, "activity_lines": [ 392.406665, 389.167271, 376.992382, 369.635558 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 389.600006, "volume": 2760, "typical_volume": 10134.0, "trend": 362.291387, "fair_value": 282.489879, "relative_strength": -5.047938, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.75025, "energy": 54.630629, "activity_lines": [ 391.386668, 390.032727, 379.20143, 371.516098 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 389.0, "volume": 15220, "typical_volume": 8400.5, "trend": 364.111132, "fair_value": 283.571752, "relative_strength": -4.501638, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.997015, "energy": 44.76383, "activity_lines": [ 390.426668, 390.352727, 381.166192, 373.239234 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 397.200012, "volume": 2780, "typical_volume": 8331.0, "trend": 365.949669, "fair_value": 284.727536, "relative_strength": -4.090489, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.224044, "energy": 44.514102, "activity_lines": [ 392.020005, 391.854548, 383.678097, 375.374 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }