{ "ticker": { "uuid": "12828321-5935-4d85-832c-3dc3d4c9630c", "symbol": "300621", "name": "Weiye Construction Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.449, "architecture_energy": 42.021, "architecture_maturity": 64.371, "architecture_confidence": 63.288, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.1, "rotation_up": 24.12, "upward_expansion": 17.49, "deceleration": 66.69, "rotation_down": 46.19, "downward_expansion": 67.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.638, 6.620727, 7.151143, 7.53686 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 7.08, "trend_reference": 8.014333, "distance_from_trend": -0.116583, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.009706, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.214181, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.672513, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.213333, "excess_performance": -0.220733, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.116583, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085052, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.214181, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.191177, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.196725, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016194, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.213333, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.307611, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24353865, "relative_activity": 1.166815, "balance": 0.307611, "dry_up": 1.337325, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.100934, "annualized_volatility": 0.412487, "from_high_reference": -0.301086, "from_low_reference": 0.255319 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.014333, "fair_value_reference": 9.009706, "structural_low": 5.64, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.014903, "positive_rate": 0.608696, "directional_follow_through": 0.391304, "median_excess_return": 0.000568, "regime_survival": 0.695652, "best_return": 0.198276, "worst_return": -0.223031, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.009001, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.028183, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.454172, "worst_return": -0.243373, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.020642, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.076295, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.29745, "worst_return": -0.268065, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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83.169052, "activity_lines": [ 6.480667, 6.825273, 7.474, 7.829183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.92, "volume": 33378700, "typical_volume": 20499362.75, "trend": 8.112667, "fair_value": 9.051435, "relative_strength": -31.692729, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.733465, "energy": 68.900935, "activity_lines": [ 6.274, 6.586545, 7.286714, 7.682108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.84, "volume": 28425847, "typical_volume": 20896993.75, "trend": 8.058667, "fair_value": 9.029162, "relative_strength": -19.119712, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.194761, "energy": 55.331571, "activity_lines": [ 6.432, 6.566545, 7.201952, 7.6 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.08, "volume": 24353865, "typical_volume": 20872092.0, "trend": 8.014333, "fair_value": 9.009706, "relative_strength": -19.672513, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.449306, "energy": 42.020709, "activity_lines": [ 6.638, 6.620727, 7.151143, 7.53686 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }