{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1285e520-d02d-49ed-ba93-769dcbadfc89", "symbol": "LST", "name": "Lam Soon (Thailand) Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 90.441, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.625, "architecture_energy": 51.155, "architecture_maturity": 56.015, "architecture_confidence": 68.476, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.36, "rotation_up": 61.69, "upward_expansion": 80.59, "deceleration": 60.86, "rotation_down": 17.76, "downward_expansion": 7.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.761333, 4.747273, 4.719238, 4.693783 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.74, "trend_reference": 4.650307, "distance_from_trend": 0.019288, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.478641, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.058357, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.560143, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.052687, "excess_performance": -0.139638, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.019288, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018682, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.058357, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005096, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.105601, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002021, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.052687, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.225564, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 456000, "relative_activity": 1.936388, "balance": 1.225564, "dry_up": 1.150367, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.010711, "annualized_volatility": 0.057474, "from_high_reference": -0.028689, "from_low_reference": 0.089624 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.650307, "fair_value_reference": 4.478641, "structural_low": 4.350126, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.45, "directional_follow_through": 0.45, "median_excess_return": 0.0147, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.05, "worst_return": -0.024096, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.012048, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.056506, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.050505, "worst_return": -0.028226, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.009523, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.104059, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.244213, "worst_return": -0.227907, "sufficient": true }, { 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"gate": "up", "direction": 80.383542, "energy": 83.876179, "activity_lines": [ 4.749333, 4.722909, 4.69781, 4.669196 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.78, "volume": 272900, "typical_volume": 263380.0, "trend": 4.633188, "fair_value": 4.473021, "relative_strength": -12.120515, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.178335, "energy": 84.52404, "activity_lines": [ 4.765333, 4.736364, 4.70781, 4.679305 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.76, "volume": 111100, "typical_volume": 242365.0, "trend": 4.642399, "fair_value": 4.475728, "relative_strength": -11.120099, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.856834, "energy": 79.127295, "activity_lines": [ 4.769333, 4.744364, 4.714857, 4.687486 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.74, "volume": 456000, "typical_volume": 235490.0, "trend": 4.650307, "fair_value": 4.478641, "relative_strength": -10.560143, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.624786, "energy": 51.154716, "activity_lines": [ 4.761333, 4.747273, 4.719238, 4.693783 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }