{ "ticker": { "uuid": "128d137c-b8bb-4f62-bd30-592de79513ed", "symbol": "LGI", "name": "LGI Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -84.815, "architecture_energy": 92.763, "architecture_maturity": 66.0, "architecture_confidence": 81.672, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 9.66, "upward_expansion": 21.41, "deceleration": 37.27, "rotation_down": 86.1, "downward_expansion": 99.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.351333, 2.527636, 2.864476, 3.059944 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 2.2, "trend_reference": 3.302951, "distance_from_trend": -0.333929, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.963616, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.257664, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -42.102105, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.391907, "excess_performance": -0.455613, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.333929, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12751, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.257664, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.456324, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.421021, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.378132, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.391907, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.171162, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 220860, "relative_activity": 0.947383, "balance": 0.171162, "dry_up": 1.545052, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102448, "annualized_volatility": 0.358247, "from_high_reference": -0.585144, "from_low_reference": 0.009174 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.302951, "fair_value_reference": 2.963616, "structural_low": 2.18, 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"2024-12-06", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.059689, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.286265, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.099256, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.105422, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.381687, "active": true } ], 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3.181273, 3.349615, 3.455377 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 2.73, "volume": 40506, "typical_volume": 212735.85, "trend": 3.56937, "fair_value": 2.958781, "relative_strength": -26.484619, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.261478, "energy": 92.32041, "activity_lines": [ 2.876667, 3.076182, 3.282185, 3.398414 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.68, "volume": 571767, "typical_volume": 234266.35, "trend": 3.524819, "fair_value": 2.961227, "relative_strength": -27.308044, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.736142, "energy": 91.077848, "activity_lines": [ 2.786, 2.976364, 3.212749, 3.341036 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.51, "volume": 127226, "typical_volume": 192030.4, "trend": 3.480249, "fair_value": 2.963082, "relative_strength": -31.592761, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.284151, "energy": 93.945976, "activity_lines": [ 2.666667, 2.862727, 3.131494, 3.275564 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.35, "volume": 850228, "typical_volume": 231792.2, "trend": 3.424365, "fair_value": 2.963662, "relative_strength": -35.54982, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.745719, "energy": 94.757964, "activity_lines": [ 2.533333, 2.738, 3.040466, 3.202644 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.38, "volume": 242455, "typical_volume": 226211.1, "trend": 3.367489, "fair_value": 2.964497, "relative_strength": -35.809718, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.461221, "energy": 90.547626, "activity_lines": [ 2.461333, 2.639091, 2.958048, 3.135266 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.2, "volume": 220860, "typical_volume": 233126.35, "trend": 3.302951, "fair_value": 2.963616, "relative_strength": -42.102105, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.81509, "energy": 92.762843, "activity_lines": [ 2.351333, 2.527636, 2.864476, 3.059944 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }