{ "ticker": { "uuid": "129e5151-d174-44a0-bd0c-ef7b200f7f8d", "symbol": "POWA", "name": "INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED SELF IDX FT BLOOMBERG PRICING POWER ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 78.565, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 57.018, "architecture_energy": 62.714, "architecture_maturity": 5.605, "architecture_confidence": 56.708, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.29, "rotation_up": 72.72, "upward_expansion": 61.82, "deceleration": 21.6, "rotation_down": 17.33, "downward_expansion": 20.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 90.93106, 89.942713, 88.971709, 88.868259 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 93.4318, "trend_reference": 89.40295, "distance_from_trend": 0.045064, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 81.335977, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.148714, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.106887, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.001625, "excess_performance": -0.12725, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.045064, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003557, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.148714, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04575, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.071069, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051948, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.001625, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.906797, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23106, "relative_activity": 1.232261, "balance": 0.906797, "dry_up": 0.871158, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.02206, "annualized_volatility": 0.122462, "from_high_reference": -0.005305, "from_low_reference": 0.105311 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 89.40295, "fair_value_reference": 81.335977, "structural_low": 84.5299, 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80.170709, "relative_strength": -10.206353, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.537395, "energy": 18.256169, "activity_lines": [ 87.807407, 87.736753, 88.005968, 88.851026 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 86.9448, "volume": 22564, "typical_volume": 17265.1, "trend": 89.609811, "fair_value": 80.309477, "relative_strength": -12.304643, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.475884, "energy": 20.600142, "activity_lines": [ 87.65966, 87.568798, 87.815133, 88.675854 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 88.3853, "volume": 23229, "typical_volume": 18023.05, "trend": 89.52273, "fair_value": 80.446599, "relative_strength": -8.427894, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.040197, "energy": 15.715442, "activity_lines": [ 87.90328, 87.670535, 87.784912, 88.596853 ] }, { 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15.287358, "activity_lines": [ 88.984713, 88.505042, 88.079761, 88.556949 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 88.655, "volume": 10160, "typical_volume": 18479.2, "trend": 89.325497, "fair_value": 81.008689, "relative_strength": -8.276774, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.382253, "energy": 16.178756, "activity_lines": [ 88.991107, 88.621964, 88.155788, 88.508161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 90.8334, "volume": 15334, "typical_volume": 18382.4, "trend": 89.358183, "fair_value": 81.164764, "relative_strength": -6.777527, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.692566, "energy": 36.878933, "activity_lines": [ 89.60962, 89.079645, 88.447733, 88.605445 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 93.4318, "volume": 23106, "typical_volume": 18750.9, "trend": 89.40295, "fair_value": 81.335977, "relative_strength": -7.106887, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 57.017729, "energy": 62.714224, "activity_lines": [ 90.93106, 89.942713, 88.971709, 88.868259 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }