{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "12b59966-a31e-405c-bbef-050ccd75f0f2",
    "symbol": "4320",
    "name": "Alandalus Property Company",
    "exchange": "SAU",
    "country": "SA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TASI.SR",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 76.528,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -21.045,
    "architecture_energy": 15.251,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.107,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.28,
        "rotation_up": 35.79,
        "upward_expansion": 21.61,
        "deceleration": 41.02,
        "rotation_down": 26.31,
        "downward_expansion": 57.95
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        14.774667,
        14.539818,
        14.611143,
        14.827419
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 15.04,
    "trend_reference": 15.306667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.017422,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 20.950609,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.282121,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -9.523965,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.124054,
    "excess_performance": -0.092224,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017422,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.075926,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.282121,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052159,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.09524,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.137025,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.124054,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.353676,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 590675,
      "relative_activity": 1.867439,
      "balance": 1.353676,
      "dry_up": 1.874723,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.05355,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.213225,
      "from_high_reference": -0.289896,
      "from_low_reference": 0.112426
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 15.306667,
      "fair_value_reference": 20.950609,
      "structural_low": 13.52,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": -0.017944,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.59375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009169,
        "regime_survival": 0.8125,
        "best_return": 0.138614,
        "worst_return": -0.103078,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.043054,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.022188,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.499133,
        "worst_return": -0.115429,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.037305,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.04141,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.31624,
        "worst_return": -0.214213,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.045247,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.054209,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.352575,
        "worst_return": -0.335327,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-04-07",
        "end": "2023-09-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.27695,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-09-29",
        "end": "2023-12-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2024-01-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.138614,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-03-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.05042,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.005545,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.023392,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.048495,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2024-10-04",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
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        "typical_volume": 268132.55,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 14.66,
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        "typical_volume": 270915.4,
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        "direction": -56.243267,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 15.15,
        "volume": 693956,
        "typical_volume": 295757.55,
        "trend": 15.392,
        "fair_value": 20.999404,
        "relative_strength": -7.099675,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -28.10017,
        "energy": 16.373967,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.553333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 15.04,
        "volume": 590675,
        "typical_volume": 316302.2,
        "trend": 15.306667,
        "fair_value": 20.950609,
        "relative_strength": -9.523965,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -21.045289,
        "energy": 15.250879,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}