{ "ticker": { "uuid": "12e8485b-56d7-4a7c-b6e0-867ce5cc1a77", "symbol": "OKTA", "name": "Okta, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.246, "architecture_energy": 88.632, "architecture_maturity": 38.0, "architecture_confidence": 85.239, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.35, "rotation_up": 82.76, "upward_expansion": 99.23, "deceleration": 39.38, "rotation_down": 10.48, "downward_expansion": 21.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 2609.910677, 2477.504545, 2164.01157, 1965.430302 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 2622.0, "trend_reference": 1761.546004, "distance_from_trend": 0.488465, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1690.665064, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.550869, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 50.465984, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.759732, "excess_performance": 0.814398, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.488465, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.174867, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.550869, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.677409, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.50466, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.740435, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.759732, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.988874, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 1.988874, "dry_up": 0.029052, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04993, "annualized_volatility": 0.662236, "from_high_reference": -0.013915, "from_low_reference": 1.080952 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1761.546004, "fair_value_reference": 1690.665064, "structural_low": 1260.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.051764, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.072846, "regime_survival": 0.6875, "best_return": 0.255435, "worst_return": -0.201155, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.085317, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.149548, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.121939, "worst_return": -0.293762, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.01547, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.064624, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.132948, "worst_return": -0.036735, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.378752, "energy": 77.2135, "activity_lines": [ 2421.354671, 2233.17927, 1923.354141, 1785.755528 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2622.0, "volume": 6, "typical_volume": 745.55, "trend": 1692.680338, "fair_value": 1672.947115, "relative_strength": 53.291634, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.657748, "energy": 74.226859, "activity_lines": [ 2526.340007, 2336.857635, 2009.268522, 1847.92884 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2622.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 742.65, "trend": 1730.047005, "fair_value": 1681.80609, "relative_strength": 51.346897, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.372075, "energy": 89.04874, "activity_lines": [ 2589.192008, 2418.290181, 2089.506713, 1907.884947 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2622.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 722.85, "trend": 1761.546004, "fair_value": 1690.665064, "relative_strength": 50.465984, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.246441, "energy": 88.631533, "activity_lines": [ 2609.910677, 2477.504545, 2164.01157, 1965.430302 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }