{ "ticker": { "uuid": "12fa908a-2f78-4cfc-8f6f-0575e0d7dad4", "symbol": "2065", "name": "Sheh Fung Screws Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 80.798, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.663, "architecture_energy": 34.96, "architecture_maturity": 28.934, "architecture_confidence": 43.838, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.07, "rotation_up": 47.48, "upward_expansion": 67.04, "deceleration": 66.17, "rotation_down": 27.32, "downward_expansion": 14.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.46, 33.046364, 33.04381, 32.462714 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 35.950001, "trend_reference": 31.786286, "distance_from_trend": 0.130991, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 42.739812, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.158864, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -15.265214, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.171821, "excess_performance": -0.269551, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.130991, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059627, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.158864, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080689, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.152652, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.137719, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.171821, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.198084, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1024058, "relative_activity": 2.268105, "balance": 2.198084, "dry_up": 0.92512, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052637, "annualized_volatility": 0.288539, "from_high_reference": -0.052701, "from_low_reference": 0.367125 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.786286, "fair_value_reference": 42.739812, "structural_low": 27.582285, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.013536, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.017661, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.083857, "worst_return": -0.089457, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.066955, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.068425, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.1174, "worst_return": -0.050761, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.133811, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.111791, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.252253, "worst_return": 0.015228, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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33.453333, 33.775454, 32.570536, 31.8365 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 32.5, "volume": 147709, "typical_volume": 497019.0, "trend": 30.929292, "fair_value": 43.256202, "relative_strength": -28.017066, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.614602, "energy": 20.164182, "activity_lines": [ 33.026666, 33.631818, 32.654259, 31.94749 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 31.6, "volume": 174948, "typical_volume": 486192.55, "trend": 31.061628, "fair_value": 43.140343, "relative_strength": -24.453104, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.748648, "energy": 21.332883, "activity_lines": [ 32.42, 33.261818, 32.6411, 31.990761 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 32.0, "volume": 204159, "typical_volume": 469566.8, "trend": 31.202533, "fair_value": 43.031873, "relative_strength": -24.112828, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.037172, "energy": 20.975357, "activity_lines": [ 32.14, 32.937272, 32.656205, 32.051301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.450001, "volume": 223310, "typical_volume": 460413.9, "trend": 31.339397, "fair_value": 42.921485, "relative_strength": -23.36779, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.534046, "energy": 14.695602, "activity_lines": [ 31.843334, 32.54, 32.601295, 32.067267 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.049999, "volume": 219254, "typical_volume": 427552.65, "trend": 31.531181, "fair_value": 42.819745, "relative_strength": -20.313669, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.87302, "energy": 15.112408, "activity_lines": [ 32.183333, 32.500909, 32.689422, 32.177629 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 35.950001, "volume": 1024058, "typical_volume": 451503.75, "trend": 31.786286, "fair_value": 42.739812, "relative_strength": -15.265214, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.663086, "energy": 34.959944, "activity_lines": [ 33.46, 33.046364, 33.04381, 32.462714 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }