{ "ticker": { "uuid": "13088f88-c2c9-4b3a-a3f8-16452e0190f3", "symbol": "603987", "name": "Shanghai Kindly Enterprise Development Group Co.,LTD.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.075, "architecture_energy": 36.778, "architecture_maturity": 98.573, "architecture_confidence": 83.995, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.53, "rotation_up": 27.51, "upward_expansion": 18.16, "deceleration": 46.94, "rotation_down": 32.6, "downward_expansion": 63.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.290667, 7.244364, 7.427565, 7.752379 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 7.42, "trend_reference": 8.195891, "distance_from_trend": -0.094668, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.970056, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.069015, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.510692, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.198704, "excess_performance": -0.1555, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.094668, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0621, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.069015, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043908, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.125107, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003288, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.198704, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.600922, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20262095, "relative_activity": 1.089475, "balance": 0.600922, "dry_up": 1.185207, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048733, "annualized_volatility": 0.20914, "from_high_reference": -0.274682, "from_low_reference": 0.083212 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.195891, "fair_value_reference": 7.970056, "structural_low": 6.85, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.008827, "positive_rate": 0.4375, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": -0.001872, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 0.210641, "worst_return": -0.168329, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.050781, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.037999, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.264407, "worst_return": -0.272727, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.114515, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.097059, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.214403, "worst_return": -0.338825, "sufficient": true }, { 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.395938, "energy": 64.288146, "activity_lines": [ 7.180667, 7.254446, 7.674932, 8.018845 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.33, "volume": 25829108, "typical_volume": 19274378.85, "trend": 8.338225, "fair_value": 8.060952, "relative_strength": -10.684327, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.957564, "energy": 57.527398, "activity_lines": [ 7.234, 7.242242, 7.603804, 7.951368 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.03, "volume": 24593143, "typical_volume": 19087302.6, "trend": 8.280891, "fair_value": 8.027055, "relative_strength": -15.121489, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.9132, "energy": 54.854894, "activity_lines": [ 7.184667, 7.191389, 7.513677, 7.866967 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.32, "volume": 17485765, "typical_volume": 18942143.35, "trend": 8.235225, "fair_value": 7.996855, "relative_strength": -11.702514, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.370102, "energy": 44.57289, "activity_lines": [ 7.236667, 7.206258, 7.461359, 7.804974 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.42, "volume": 20262095, "typical_volume": 18598034.1, "trend": 8.195891, "fair_value": 7.970056, "relative_strength": -12.510692, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.075486, "energy": 36.778317, "activity_lines": [ 7.290667, 7.244364, 7.427565, 7.752379 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }