{ "ticker": { "uuid": "131a06b8-b610-453b-9679-285967b53266", "symbol": "C1DN34", "name": "Cadence Design Systems, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 69.89, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 0.474, "architecture_energy": 26.483, "architecture_maturity": 62.838, "architecture_confidence": 77.534, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.76, "rotation_up": 14.13, "upward_expansion": 42.54, "deceleration": 87.96, "rotation_down": 52.32, "downward_expansion": 38.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 863.009331, 902.462728, 905.274859, 875.555207 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 862.309998, "trend_reference": 842.947335, "distance_from_trend": 0.02297, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 801.685323, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.075622, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.227164, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.157821, "excess_performance": 0.214869, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.02297, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026986, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.075622, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069941, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.052272, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.084882, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.157821, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.04147, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6999, "relative_activity": 2.232215, "balance": 7.04147, "dry_up": 1.335454, "accumulation_observations": 7, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066241, "annualized_volatility": 0.396904, "from_high_reference": -0.164873, "from_low_reference": 0.297233 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 842.947335, "fair_value_reference": 801.685323, "structural_low": 664.72998, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.046029, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": 0.018096, "regime_survival": 0.307692, "best_return": 0.135167, "worst_return": -0.192165, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.077446, "positive_rate": 0.888889, "directional_follow_through": 0.888889, "median_excess_return": 0.044154, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.198654, "worst_return": -0.091551, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.180916, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.158011, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.302061, "worst_return": -0.228797, "sufficient": true 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"active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.087178, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.018256, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.063886, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.052683, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.098192, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": 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1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.032913, "energy": 25.735801, "activity_lines": [ 875.697998, 916.375456, 905.822622, 874.338024 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 862.309998, "volume": 6999, "typical_volume": 3135.45, "trend": 842.947335, "fair_value": 801.685323, "relative_strength": -5.227164, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.474092, "energy": 26.483439, "activity_lines": [ 863.009331, 902.462728, 905.274859, 875.555207 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }