{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "131b2066-7a45-4aef-8a46-6616401c74aa",
    "symbol": "VEVE",
    "name": "Vanguard FTSE Developed World UCITS ETF USD Distributing",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 87.937,
    "architecture_energy": 71.064,
    "architecture_maturity": 84.479,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.678,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.22,
        "rotation_up": 59.75,
        "upward_expansion": 85.33,
        "deceleration": 68.48,
        "rotation_down": 28.25,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        115.55867,
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        112.812871,
        110.215939
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 118.160004,
    "trend_reference": 107.230388,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.101926,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 91.8691,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.286178,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.731714,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.162005,
    "excess_performance": 0.079122,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101926,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042876,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.286178,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062472,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027317,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.033843,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.162005,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.673553,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 39208,
      "relative_activity": 1.163201,
      "balance": 1.673553,
      "dry_up": 1.899316,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017944,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.109139,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001858,
      "from_low_reference": 0.24657
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 107.230388,
      "fair_value_reference": 91.8691,
      "structural_low": 95.739998,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 35,
        "median_return": 0.013131,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002273,
        "regime_survival": 0.828571,
        "best_return": 0.064537,
        "worst_return": -0.108229,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.028303,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013046,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.141474,
        "worst_return": -0.168374,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.038611,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009835,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
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        "worst_return": -0.104292,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.043294,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.069708,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
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      {
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "relative_strength": 3.383932,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.865956,
        "energy": 48.983916,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 105.695053,
        "volume": 10929,
        "typical_volume": 26505.4,
        "trend": 101.380959,
        "fair_value": 88.225072,
        "relative_strength": 3.568021,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.833912,
        "energy": 69.878287,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 22143,
        "typical_volume": 25642.45,
        "trend": 101.70929,
        "fair_value": 88.470871,
        "relative_strength": 6.115987,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 80.292608,
        "energy": 83.124675,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 99624,
        "typical_volume": 29453.5,
        "trend": 102.105253,
        "fair_value": 88.716659,
        "relative_strength": 6.007091,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 82.161486,
        "energy": 86.390171,
        "activity_lines": [
          107.610024,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 110.670341,
        "volume": 105925,
        "typical_volume": 33770.9,
        "trend": 102.479391,
        "fair_value": 88.970378,
        "relative_strength": 4.795555,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.502612,
        "energy": 89.410354,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 111.665398,
        "volume": 16725,
        "typical_volume": 31157.35,
        "trend": 102.821752,
        "fair_value": 89.22241,
        "relative_strength": 5.210487,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 82.617345,
        "energy": 92.163409,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 523,
        "typical_volume": 29332.6,
        "trend": 103.246305,
        "fair_value": 89.476098,
        "relative_strength": 6.633595,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.228787,
        "energy": 91.202756,
        "activity_lines": [
          111.090917,
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          105.895625,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 112.381836,
        "volume": 1828,
        "typical_volume": 27424.15,
        "trend": 103.682794,
        "fair_value": 89.723187,
        "relative_strength": 4.178075,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.957513,
        "energy": 90.033732,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 26467.3,
        "trend": 104.244334,
        "fair_value": 89.994877,
        "relative_strength": 5.932437,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 88.16327,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 113.379997,
        "volume": 1613,
        "typical_volume": 25825.55,
        "trend": 104.636558,
        "fair_value": 90.248672,
        "relative_strength": 1.396871,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.832735,
        "energy": 87.188039,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.338461,
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          106.610481
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 114.559998,
        "volume": 2279,
        "typical_volume": 24479.2,
        "trend": 105.041607,
        "fair_value": 90.518028,
        "relative_strength": 0.597142,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.563293,
        "energy": 89.71309,
        "activity_lines": [
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          107.250703
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 115.120003,
        "volume": 52322,
        "typical_volume": 25989.25,
        "trend": 105.519666,
        "fair_value": 90.790973,
        "relative_strength": 2.340917,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.179146,
        "energy": 89.219329,
        "activity_lines": [
          114.426789,
          113.364995,
          110.12258,
          107.900922
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 113.480003,
        "volume": 154131,
        "typical_volume": 33115.75,
        "trend": 105.925418,
        "fair_value": 91.050515,
        "relative_strength": 0.086145,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.521894,
        "energy": 71.407109,
        "activity_lines": [
          114.222667,
          113.587546,
          110.729506,
          108.414492
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 114.860001,
        "volume": 16940,
        "typical_volume": 31804.35,
        "trend": 106.375177,
        "fair_value": 91.313736,
        "relative_strength": 1.381701,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.148886,
        "energy": 67.739836,
        "activity_lines": [
          114.405335,
          113.966137,
          111.412744,
          108.990917
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 113.980003,
        "volume": 45802,
        "typical_volume": 32799.3,
        "trend": 106.776989,
        "fair_value": 91.576914,
        "relative_strength": 0.494824,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.414452,
        "energy": 62.032513,
        "activity_lines": [
          114.305335,
          114.084673,
          111.947731,
          109.481551
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 118.160004,
        "volume": 39208,
        "typical_volume": 33707.0,
        "trend": 107.230388,
        "fair_value": 91.8691,
        "relative_strength": 2.731714,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.937339,
        "energy": 71.064202,
        "activity_lines": [
          115.55867,
          114.903032,
          112.812871,
          110.215939
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}