{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1322eff0-d638-4be0-8dc7-aa2660120f89", "symbol": "OSIS", "name": "OSI Systems Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.265, "architecture_energy": 26.664, "architecture_maturity": 60.91, "architecture_confidence": 81.271, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.93, "rotation_up": 27.09, "upward_expansion": 20.01, "deceleration": 43.58, "rotation_down": 31.29, "downward_expansion": 58.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 223.909333, 221.366909, 226.580381, 237.655742 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 236.23, "trend_reference": 251.033667, "distance_from_trend": -0.058971, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 189.325994, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.247742, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.54856, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.129138, "excess_performance": -0.316592, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.058971, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060512, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.247742, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026933, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.185486, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055638, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.129138, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.789586, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 688952, "relative_activity": 0.536044, "balance": 0.789586, "dry_up": 0.642792, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075117, "annualized_volatility": 0.492986, "from_high_reference": -0.242179, "from_low_reference": 0.197496 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 251.033667, "fair_value_reference": 189.325994, "structural_low": 197.27, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.003062, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": 0.014691, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.243259, "worst_return": -0.06756, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.075043, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.020261, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.241705, "worst_return": -0.08573, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.031079, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.051922, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.439362, "worst_return": -0.154325, "sufficient": false }, { 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217.881455, 235.478905, 246.141935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 212.66, "volume": 924696, "typical_volume": 1398508.9, "trend": 255.367, "fair_value": 187.262788, "relative_strength": -24.578807, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.480675, "energy": 42.873703, "activity_lines": [ 216.932, 216.952727, 231.950571, 243.275097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 216.7, "volume": 979159, "typical_volume": 1383567.2, "trend": 253.596333, "fair_value": 187.897853, "relative_strength": -21.587087, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.962563, "energy": 39.835069, "activity_lines": [ 216.365333, 217.088909, 229.152429, 240.780452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 221.39, "volume": 711789, "typical_volume": 1346379.85, "trend": 252.456667, "fair_value": 188.557019, "relative_strength": -20.038133, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.465912, "energy": 36.947127, "activity_lines": [ 217.767333, 217.872364, 227.04181, 238.702624 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 236.23, "volume": 688952, "typical_volume": 1285251.7, "trend": 251.033667, "fair_value": 189.325994, "relative_strength": -18.54856, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.26519, "energy": 26.664385, "activity_lines": [ 223.909333, 221.366909, 226.580381, 237.655742 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }