{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1329829b-0eaf-4d0c-b5aa-3731efa58061", "symbol": "SLM", "name": "SLM Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 56.533, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.691, "architecture_energy": 68.738, "architecture_maturity": 24.318, "architecture_confidence": 68.139, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.79, "rotation_up": 72.47, "upward_expansion": 88.78, "deceleration": 46.03, "rotation_down": 13.71, "downward_expansion": 13.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.956, 25.366455, 24.177245, 23.471249 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 27.37, "trend_reference": 23.214986, "distance_from_trend": 0.17898, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.288942, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.175236, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.310787, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.015005, "excess_performance": -0.172449, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.17898, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039038, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.175236, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.184212, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.053108, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.268231, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.015005, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.374214, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11414925, "relative_activity": 0.798697, "balance": 1.374214, "dry_up": 0.987098, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064201, "annualized_volatility": 0.43861, "from_high_reference": -0.157457, "from_low_reference": 0.559349 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.214986, "fair_value_reference": 23.288942, "structural_low": 17.552196, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.037736, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.037855, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.105575, "worst_return": -0.021108, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.105936, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.105521, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.23309, "worst_return": -0.143426, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.073671, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.09017, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.233027, "worst_return": -0.19083, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.29, "volume": 18779529, "typical_volume": 15356106.85, "trend": 23.247674, "fair_value": 23.131393, "relative_strength": -12.644955, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.354143, "energy": 54.407279, "activity_lines": [ 24.956, 24.370634, 23.429401, 23.025725 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.995, "volume": 14270028, "typical_volume": 14773864.35, "trend": 23.211706, "fair_value": 23.204349, "relative_strength": -6.241135, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 45.422119, "energy": 48.844889, "activity_lines": [ 25.245, 24.779667, 23.753012, 23.202972 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.37, "volume": 11414925, "typical_volume": 14291932.75, "trend": 23.214986, "fair_value": 23.288942, "relative_strength": -5.310787, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.69093, "energy": 68.738346, "activity_lines": [ 25.956, 25.366455, 24.177245, 23.471249 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }