{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1329d6dc-970d-4a35-b98c-ba92dd9a8707",
    "symbol": "H1LT34",
    "name": "Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 53.861,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 9.879,
    "architecture_energy": 29.857,
    "architecture_maturity": 57.542,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.397,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 47.37,
        "rotation_up": 14.39,
        "upward_expansion": 49.0,
        "deceleration": 93.77,
        "rotation_down": 53.77,
        "downward_expansion": 33.33
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        68.841334,
        70.406546,
        69.932584,
        69.249888
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 68.610001,
    "trend_reference": 68.486485,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.001804,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 54.30067,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.26352,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.952528,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.012188,
    "excess_performance": 0.069237,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001804,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040973,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.26352,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019186,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009525,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.129421,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012188,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.008685,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.008685,
      "dry_up": 0.110051,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.027661,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.229136,
      "from_high_reference": -0.09186,
      "from_low_reference": 0.208807
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 68.486485,
      "fair_value_reference": 54.30067,
      "structural_low": 63.138279,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.014344,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02394,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.104693,
        "worst_return": -0.110485,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.033788,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.118257,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.221873,
        "worst_return": -0.203923,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.089297,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.087247,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.278733,
        "worst_return": -0.146537,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.239978,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.222575,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.527986,
        "worst_return": -0.186152,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.011225,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.03515,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.017604,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.029919,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.030759,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.040044,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.050175,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.104693,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.075696,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.15124,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.09186,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 68.15,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "volume": 25,
        "typical_volume": 3398.45,
        "trend": 64.923842,
        "fair_value": 50.686898,
        "relative_strength": -11.779029,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 59.260221,
        "energy": 60.396977,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 65.316597,
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        "trend": 65.152508,
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        "relative_strength": -11.989607,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 3367.35,
        "trend": 65.318197,
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        "relative_strength": -11.010053,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 15.763445,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3367.1,
        "trend": 65.484643,
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        "relative_strength": -10.18879,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -32.430056,
        "energy": 38.925473,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 3178.0,
        "trend": 65.790821,
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        "relative_strength": -0.187249,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 71.25,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3177.8,
        "trend": 66.157332,
        "fair_value": 51.886211,
        "relative_strength": 5.380718,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 26.000027,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 28,
        "typical_volume": 3179.2,
        "trend": 66.582843,
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        "relative_strength": 6.670731,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 67.515972,
        "fair_value": 52.790779,
        "relative_strength": 8.810462,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 91.936764,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 72.290001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 106.05,
        "trend": 67.897354,
        "fair_value": 53.06334,
        "relative_strength": 3.597437,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 67.091341,
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 71.900002,
        "volume": 3695,
        "typical_volume": 290.8,
        "trend": 68.241419,
        "fair_value": 53.328748,
        "relative_strength": 1.170977,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.660508,
        "energy": 76.913413,
        "activity_lines": [
          73.295335,
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          69.170069
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 68.699997,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 275.75,
        "trend": 68.301271,
        "fair_value": 53.573643,
        "relative_strength": -0.631616,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.059694,
        "energy": 34.149309,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.641334,
          71.696678,
          70.008643,
          69.199655
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 68.610001,
        "volume": 20,
        "typical_volume": 276.5,
        "trend": 68.330809,
        "fair_value": 53.817961,
        "relative_strength": -0.5692,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.647281,
        "energy": 23.532781,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.245334,
          71.360728,
          69.996953,
          69.219573
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 68.610001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 272.65,
        "trend": 68.419306,
        "fair_value": 54.061642,
        "relative_strength": -2.345426,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 14.313586,
        "energy": 27.192526,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.312,
          70.930546,
          69.974154,
          69.237585
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 68.610001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 272.6,
        "trend": 68.486485,
        "fair_value": 54.30067,
        "relative_strength": 0.952528,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 9.878617,
        "energy": 29.856714,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.841334,
          70.406546,
          69.932584,
          69.249888
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}