{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "13473ea3-4108-48fc-a84d-3770fad0a2e9",
    "symbol": "WAH",
    "name": "Wolftank Group AG",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -65.351,
    "architecture_energy": 75.619,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.695,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.022,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.93,
        "rotation_up": 9.81,
        "upward_expansion": 17.42,
        "deceleration": 37.52,
        "rotation_down": 75.77,
        "downward_expansion": 93.09
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.604,
        3.766,
        4.020952,
        4.124645
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 3.67,
    "trend_reference": 4.236333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.133685,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 8.118864,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.547966,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -28.397439,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.146512,
    "excess_performance": -0.211151,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.133685,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.063794,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.547966,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.094275,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.283974,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.144456,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.146512,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.045983,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 43693,
      "relative_activity": 2.238296,
      "balance": 1.045983,
      "dry_up": 1.556621,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.092014,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.368449,
      "from_high_reference": -0.549693,
      "from_low_reference": 0.139752
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.236333,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.118864,
      "structural_low": 3.22,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": -0.018072,
        "positive_rate": 0.384615,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": -0.021027,
        "regime_survival": 0.820513,
        "best_return": 0.242424,
        "worst_return": -0.224138,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": -0.050889,
        "positive_rate": 0.357143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.642857,
        "median_excess_return": -0.099935,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.097902,
        "worst_return": -0.182759,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.216374,
        "positive_rate": 0.142857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.211809,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.110504,
        "worst_return": -0.280374,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.216374,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.436958,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": -0.10891,
        "worst_return": -0.281407,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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          4.365,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 4.89,
        "volume": 16782,
        "typical_volume": 14843.25,
        "trend": 4.526333,
        "fair_value": 8.868221,
        "relative_strength": -13.457985,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 7.222706,
        "energy": 10.370789,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4.401048,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 4.82,
        "volume": 9372,
        "typical_volume": 14735.6,
        "trend": 4.543667,
        "fair_value": 8.822848,
        "relative_strength": -13.951849,
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.060707,
        "energy": 29.424286,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.642,
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          4.499097
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 4.28,
        "volume": 11559,
        "typical_volume": 14831.05,
        "trend": 4.541,
        "fair_value": 8.769319,
        "relative_strength": -21.497786,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -0.579622,
        "energy": 16.933779,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.564667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 4.44,
        "volume": 49869,
        "typical_volume": 17059.15,
        "trend": 4.539,
        "fair_value": 8.717989,
        "relative_strength": -20.85855,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -9.237132,
        "energy": 15.807752,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4.419667,
          4.47557
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 35951,
        "typical_volume": 18652.0,
        "trend": 4.525,
        "fair_value": 8.668182,
        "relative_strength": -24.659914,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.243633,
        "energy": 16.485699,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4.454989
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 4.44,
        "volume": 10425,
        "typical_volume": 18961.05,
        "trend": 4.527667,
        "fair_value": 8.616852,
        "relative_strength": -18.661745,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -31.511895,
        "energy": 20.564915,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4.449505
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 4.46,
        "volume": 1125,
        "typical_volume": 18812.2,
        "trend": 4.537667,
        "fair_value": 8.568584,
        "relative_strength": -16.963222,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -29.066666,
        "energy": 16.577583,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4.44514
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 7500,
        "typical_volume": 18643.7,
        "trend": 4.537,
        "fair_value": 8.520538,
        "relative_strength": -21.733719,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -42.96626,
        "energy": 23.929592,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4.39719,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 4.0,
        "volume": 3,
        "typical_volume": 18123.6,
        "trend": 4.515,
        "fair_value": 8.462281,
        "relative_strength": -23.993301,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.087879,
        "energy": 46.667259,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.224,
          4.328727,
          4.360238,
          4.39
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 3.94,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 16748.9,
        "trend": 4.464667,
        "fair_value": 8.405985,
        "relative_strength": -27.453907,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.908569,
        "energy": 60.457369,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.114667,
          4.240909,
          4.319,
          4.352903
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 3.95,
        "volume": 11905,
        "typical_volume": 16932.85,
        "trend": 4.401333,
        "fair_value": 8.347408,
        "relative_strength": -24.341177,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.436522,
        "energy": 65.826052,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.027333,
          4.164364,
          4.28119,
          4.319699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 3.61,
        "volume": 39023,
        "typical_volume": 17715.0,
        "trend": 4.353333,
        "fair_value": 8.291931,
        "relative_strength": -29.222461,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -78.074701,
        "energy": 77.127323,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.859333,
          4.043091,
          4.213429,
          4.268645
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3.62,
        "volume": 10732,
        "typical_volume": 17026.1,
        "trend": 4.316,
        "fair_value": 8.232998,
        "relative_strength": -28.651438,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.352267,
        "energy": 78.77059,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.751333,
          3.945636,
          4.149619,
          4.221333
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.42,
        "volume": 28097,
        "typical_volume": 18076.1,
        "trend": 4.272667,
        "fair_value": 8.173369,
        "relative_strength": -32.69676,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -80.709346,
        "energy": 83.7251,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.616667,
          3.823818,
          4.071238,
          4.163527
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.67,
        "volume": 43693,
        "typical_volume": 19520.65,
        "trend": 4.236333,
        "fair_value": 8.118864,
        "relative_strength": -28.397439,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.351348,
        "energy": 75.618519,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.604,
          3.766,
          4.020952,
          4.124645
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}