{ "ticker": { "uuid": "13495b9a-b3be-4cd3-a0d4-027a15fbfae3", "symbol": "EUAI", "name": "AI-Enhanced Eurozone Equities UCITS ETF", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.802, "architecture_energy": 54.04, "architecture_maturity": 58.955, "architecture_confidence": 59.263, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.63, "rotation_up": 46.89, "upward_expansion": 77.06, "deceleration": 71.08, "rotation_down": 27.5, "downward_expansion": 8.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 131.310668, 131.03891, 128.905809, 126.78757 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 133.539993, "trend_reference": 124.602, "distance_from_trend": 0.071732, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 112.841171, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.183433, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.92807, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.087459, "excess_performance": 0.022819, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.071732, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03618, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.183433, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070139, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.019281, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018703, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.087459, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.964513, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 55, "relative_activity": 0.081973, "balance": 0.964513, "dry_up": 0.234369, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.022016, "annualized_volatility": 0.165952, "from_high_reference": -0.003879, "from_low_reference": 0.197883 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 124.602, "fair_value_reference": 112.841171, "structural_low": 111.599998, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.026812, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.010267, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.047035, "worst_return": -0.090924, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.039694, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.026941, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.083929, "worst_return": -0.004541, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.119408, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.068878, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.119408, "worst_return": 0.119408, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-24", "close": 130.320007, "volume": 204, "typical_volume": 704.6, "trend": 123.820666, "fair_value": 112.490367, "relative_strength": 4.580084, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.84096, "energy": 51.773805, "activity_lines": [ 130.480004, 130.201092, 127.609524, 125.761978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 130.380005, "volume": 273, "typical_volume": 695.25, "trend": 124.202666, "fair_value": 112.653, "relative_strength": 2.32601, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.298875, "energy": 43.021159, "activity_lines": [ 130.382671, 130.372366, 128.136858, 126.185161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 133.539993, "volume": 55, "typical_volume": 670.95, "trend": 124.602, "fair_value": 112.841171, "relative_strength": 1.92807, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.801986, "energy": 54.039971, "activity_lines": [ 131.310668, 131.03891, 128.905809, 126.78757 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }