{ "ticker": { "uuid": "134b346c-f964-47b2-b72e-72692ebdf5ce", "symbol": "ABO", "name": "clearvise AG", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.05, "architecture_energy": 49.364, "architecture_maturity": 58.541, "architecture_confidence": 90.989, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.24, "rotation_up": 17.03, "upward_expansion": 7.31, "deceleration": 47.27, "rotation_down": 60.68, "downward_expansion": 80.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.16, 1.178091, 1.220048, 1.255935 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.17, "trend_reference": 1.309833, "distance_from_trend": -0.106757, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.675165, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.301561, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.749328, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.164286, "excess_performance": -0.228925, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.106757, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.057561, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.301561, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024096, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.227493, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0798, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.164286, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.297952, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13188, "relative_activity": 0.172008, "balance": 0.297952, "dry_up": 0.333967, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072321, "annualized_volatility": 0.22983, "from_high_reference": -0.327586, "from_low_reference": 0.158416 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.309833, "fair_value_reference": 1.675165, "structural_low": 1.01, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.006757, "positive_rate": 0.344828, "directional_follow_through": 0.586207, "median_excess_return": -0.026236, "regime_survival": 0.827586, "best_return": 0.216783, "worst_return": -0.110714, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.020115, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.065093, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.102444, "worst_return": -0.158784, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.02, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.142439, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": -0.013889, "worst_return": -0.169154, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.12, "volume": 21197, "typical_volume": 76352.45, "trend": 1.3395, "fair_value": 1.692638, "relative_strength": -23.011984, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.313224, "energy": 80.999242, "activity_lines": [ 1.17, 1.215727, 1.250143, 1.287548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.185, "volume": 13786, "typical_volume": 76339.4, "trend": 1.330667, "fair_value": 1.686746, "relative_strength": -19.00028, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.494939, "energy": 70.170652, "activity_lines": [ 1.169667, 1.203636, 1.240595, 1.277581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.145, "volume": 54251, "typical_volume": 76872.35, "trend": 1.319833, "fair_value": 1.680598, "relative_strength": -22.861061, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.257877, "energy": 62.365126, "activity_lines": [ 1.158, 1.187, 1.228548, 1.265602 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.17, "volume": 13188, "typical_volume": 76670.8, "trend": 1.309833, "fair_value": 1.675165, "relative_strength": -22.749328, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.049706, "energy": 49.363767, "activity_lines": [ 1.16, 1.178091, 1.220048, 1.255935 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }