{ "ticker": { "uuid": "13525395-1eb2-49b5-9b69-693cf539bdfa", "symbol": "WDAY", "name": "Workday, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 65.659, "architecture_energy": 84.992, "architecture_maturity": 24.0, "architecture_confidence": 64.687, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.79, "rotation_up": 81.76, "upward_expansion": 68.87, "deceleration": 20.85, "rotation_down": 16.03, "downward_expansion": 27.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 2759.333333, 2547.109091, 2388.819523, 2356.400644 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 3050.0, "trend_reference": 2412.85, "distance_from_trend": 0.264065, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4124.545911, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.260525, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.59379, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.095546, "excess_performance": 0.150213, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.264065, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.179812, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.260525, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.266681, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.065938, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.456848, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.095546, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 174.6, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 398, "relative_activity": 4.492099, "balance": 174.6, "dry_up": 1.326185, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06401, "annualized_volatility": 0.573721, "from_high_reference": -0.322222, "from_low_reference": 0.564905 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2412.85, "fair_value_reference": 4124.545911, "structural_low": 1949.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.000489, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.039683, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.07309, "worst_return": -0.214702, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.033876, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.003134, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.07309, "worst_return": -0.005337, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.187051, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.099782, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.24474, "worst_return": 0.129362, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.05216, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.044497, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.203988, "worst_return": -0.099668, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-11-10", "end": "2023-12-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.214915, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-12-22", "end": "2024-03-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.030735, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-04-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-05-03", "end": "2024-06-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.150445, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-06-14", "end": "2024-08-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.109564, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-08-23", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.029936, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.120537, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.064678, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.148221, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.083, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.387025, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.00768, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.070175, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 3710.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 153.05, "trend": 3550.405339, "fair_value": 4232.949026, "relative_strength": 7.816775, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": 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"gate": "down", "direction": 10.500564, "energy": 12.280495, "activity_lines": [ 2323.4, 2293.472727, 2232.670474, 2297.909246 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2455.0, "volume": 10, "typical_volume": 71.4, "trend": 2479.183333, "fair_value": 4134.289501, "relative_strength": -25.89711, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 10.952613, "energy": 30.516381, "activity_lines": [ 2396.733333, 2327.027273, 2254.948093, 2293.295268 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2850.0, "volume": 31, "typical_volume": 72.95, "trend": 2442.683333, "fair_value": 4128.77668, "relative_strength": -13.587266, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 52.870769, "energy": 69.141971, "activity_lines": [ 2574.733333, 2424.581818, 2313.815237, 2317.218924 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3050.0, "volume": 398, "typical_volume": 88.6, "trend": 2412.85, "fair_value": 4124.545911, "relative_strength": -6.59379, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 65.65872, "energy": 84.992208, "activity_lines": [ 2759.333333, 2547.109091, 2388.819523, 2356.400644 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }