{ "ticker": { "uuid": "136644fc-8dfe-4eec-9845-2a7fbb7aa7cb", "symbol": "4083", "name": "United International Holding Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -75.234, "architecture_energy": 86.818, "architecture_maturity": 38.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.541, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.61, "rotation_up": 11.86, "upward_expansion": 20.17, "deceleration": 38.19, "rotation_down": 81.52, "downward_expansion": 98.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.356, 31.384364, 35.344113, 38.110146 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 28.719999, "trend_reference": 42.017463, "distance_from_trend": -0.316475, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 52.445583, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.452385, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.011028, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.451865, "excess_performance": -0.420035, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.316475, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.149082, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.452385, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.275356, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.39011, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.247124, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.451865, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.038367, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1256483, "relative_activity": 0.724002, "balance": 0.038367, "dry_up": 0.689593, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095886, "annualized_volatility": 0.252696, "from_high_reference": -0.537655, "from_low_reference": 0.014124 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 42.017463, "fair_value_reference": 52.445583, "structural_low": 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 29.360001, "volume": 841874, "typical_volume": 1727732.8, "trend": 43.707444, "fair_value": 52.989434, "relative_strength": -38.688061, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.219531, "energy": 92.72319, "activity_lines": [ 30.941334, 33.540364, 37.342305, 39.945981 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.4, "volume": 968555, "typical_volume": 1694082.95, "trend": 42.868, "fair_value": 52.718291, "relative_strength": -36.727209, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.618804, "energy": 89.405059, "activity_lines": [ 30.054667, 32.428728, 36.337868, 39.02292 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.719999, "volume": 1256483, "typical_volume": 1735469.6, "trend": 42.017463, "fair_value": 52.445583, "relative_strength": -39.011028, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.233991, "energy": 86.818179, "activity_lines": [ 29.356, 31.384364, 35.344113, 38.110146 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }