{ "ticker": { "uuid": "136a8eda-76c7-4331-bbd4-d96510c8b434", "symbol": "HFFG", "name": "Hf Foods Group Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.914, "architecture_energy": 63.392, "architecture_maturity": 25.017, "architecture_confidence": 90.787, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.89, "rotation_up": 12.43, "upward_expansion": 13.57, "deceleration": 38.83, "rotation_down": 69.05, "downward_expansion": 89.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.560333, 1.635818, 1.758333, 1.810925 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.56, "trend_reference": 1.863167, "distance_from_trend": -0.162716, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.168494, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.507652, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -38.828048, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.082353, "excess_performance": -0.269807, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.162716, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.107394, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.507652, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.062959, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.38828, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016797, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.082353, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.464066, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 650940, "relative_activity": 0.670921, "balance": 0.464066, "dry_up": 0.614414, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.144107, "annualized_volatility": 0.701928, "from_high_reference": -0.596899, "from_low_reference": 0.130435 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.863167, "fair_value_reference": 3.168494, "structural_low": 1.38, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.016299, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.59375, "median_excess_return": -0.047662, "regime_survival": 0.78125, "best_return": 1.287958, "worst_return": -0.281955, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.067299, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.004835, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.466165, "worst_return": -0.338235, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.005181, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.144687, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.720149, "worst_return": -0.405941, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.017442, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.140025, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.248571, "worst_return": -0.037313, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-03-29", "end": "2024-07-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.034286, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-07-26", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.05988, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.231788, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.043165, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.319549, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.004577, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.185273, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.060317, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.051988, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": 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4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.56118, "energy": 63.454028, "activity_lines": [ 1.639, 1.722364, 1.823286, 1.858301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.5, "volume": 843256, "typical_volume": 1022321.55, "trend": 1.885833, "fair_value": 3.192276, "relative_strength": -39.178553, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.024442, "energy": 68.945196, "activity_lines": [ 1.584667, 1.669, 1.786452, 1.831946 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.56, "volume": 650940, "typical_volume": 970218.35, "trend": 1.863167, "fair_value": 3.168494, "relative_strength": -38.828048, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.913735, "energy": 63.391885, "activity_lines": [ 1.560333, 1.635818, 1.758333, 1.810925 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }