{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1371bc1d-1b96-41b0-81f6-f68b4a0caf05",
    "symbol": "BTX",
    "name": "BlackRock Technology and Private Equity Term Trust",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 24.888,
    "architecture_energy": 19.093,
    "architecture_maturity": 73.582,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.413,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 54.3,
        "rotation_up": 23.18,
        "upward_expansion": 48.37,
        "deceleration": 85.09,
        "rotation_down": 29.72,
        "downward_expansion": 24.03
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        8.287743,
        8.425732,
        8.43878,
        8.0696
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 8.58,
    "trend_reference": 7.567311,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.133824,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.306313,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.360541,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 8.586493,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.35695,
    "excess_performance": 0.231325,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.133824,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105662,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.360541,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030531,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085865,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00701,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.35695,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.31001,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2122412,
      "relative_activity": 0.602828,
      "balance": 1.31001,
      "dry_up": 0.931046,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.077336,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.273819,
      "from_high_reference": -0.084923,
      "from_low_reference": 0.472666
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7.567311,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.306313,
      "structural_low": 5.965502,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.001617,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01136,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.093041,
        "worst_return": -0.104622,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.034192,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.071524,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.009195,
        "worst_return": -0.174566,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.000979,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.079744,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.075808,
        "worst_return": -0.037948,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.038529,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.199747,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.050978,
        "worst_return": 0.02608,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-16",
        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.084193,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.022405,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.068445,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.0355,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.18574,
        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
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        "return": 0.21952,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
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        "return": 0.043818,
        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.05,
        "volume": 3223550,
        "typical_volume": 3563563.25,
        "trend": 7.498418,
        "fair_value": 6.287841,
        "relative_strength": 5.511405,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 26.951486,
        "energy": 22.942002,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.58,
        "volume": 2122412,
        "typical_volume": 3520756.15,
        "trend": 7.567311,
        "fair_value": 6.306313,
        "relative_strength": 8.586493,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 24.888164,
        "energy": 19.092669,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}