{ "ticker": { "uuid": "137a174b-2b8b-417d-96bd-ed78f7ca9b69", "symbol": "300253", "name": "Winning Health Technology Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.047, "architecture_energy": 33.667, "architecture_maturity": 79.453, "architecture_confidence": 90.303, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.95, "rotation_up": 27.01, "upward_expansion": 17.01, "deceleration": 46.81, "rotation_down": 37.44, "downward_expansion": 67.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.288667, 7.131636, 7.49981, 7.953591 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 7.76, "trend_reference": 8.756, "distance_from_trend": -0.113751, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.097218, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.041646, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.988776, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.297738, "excess_performance": -0.305137, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.113751, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048847, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.041646, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.190522, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.159888, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035271, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.297738, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.493935, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 392981286, "relative_activity": 1.541116, "balance": 0.493935, "dry_up": 1.392392, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.088719, "annualized_volatility": 0.416931, "from_high_reference": -0.517713, "from_low_reference": 0.199382 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.756, "fair_value_reference": 8.097218, "structural_low": 6.47, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.001399, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": 0.01351, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.385321, "worst_return": -0.177758, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.046525, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.025385, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.46055, "worst_return": -0.279335, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.080435, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.051198, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.362892, "worst_return": -0.356559, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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75.10115, "activity_lines": [ 6.969333, 7.296909, 7.847619, 8.398151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.74, "volume": 372647627, "typical_volume": 247203609.7, "trend": 8.917667, "fair_value": 8.101065, "relative_strength": -26.807326, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.696779, "energy": 62.333268, "activity_lines": [ 6.886, 7.116182, 7.697571, 8.254753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.52, "volume": 306181801, "typical_volume": 243470865.3, "trend": 8.829, "fair_value": 8.094634, "relative_strength": -28.53382, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.507326, "energy": 62.271949, "activity_lines": [ 6.758667, 6.946364, 7.545714, 8.100065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.59, "volume": 348416778, "typical_volume": 246424940.9, "trend": 8.791333, "fair_value": 8.096785, "relative_strength": -14.618909, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.357338, "energy": 42.053331, "activity_lines": [ 7.029333, 7.014182, 7.51081, 8.020129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.76, "volume": 392981286, "typical_volume": 254997861.35, "trend": 8.756, "fair_value": 8.097218, "relative_strength": -15.988776, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.047315, "energy": 33.667475, "activity_lines": [ 7.288667, 7.131636, 7.49981, 7.953591 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }