{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1383eaec-7941-4eb1-85b7-5fe68eb3f916", "symbol": "WATR", "name": "Water Intelligence plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 92.645, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 44.64, "architecture_energy": 71.926, "architecture_maturity": 17.503, "architecture_confidence": 60.847, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.96, "rotation_up": 77.53, "upward_expansion": 68.92, "deceleration": 18.72, "rotation_down": 16.67, "downward_expansion": 24.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 304.833333, 293.363636, 275.607143, 271.826882 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 307.5, "trend_reference": 274.85, "distance_from_trend": 0.118792, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 343.701923, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.105329, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.280619, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.001629, "excess_performance": -0.049607, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.118792, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019443, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.105329, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.179749, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.002806, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.204008, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.001629, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.927409, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 65693, "relative_activity": 0.630948, "balance": 0.927409, "dry_up": 1.013226, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057536, "annualized_volatility": 0.420024, "from_high_reference": -0.068182, "from_low_reference": 0.464286 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 274.85, "fair_value_reference": 343.701923, "structural_low": 210.0, "invalidation": "A 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contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 47.692319, "energy": 58.15646, "activity_lines": [ 280.0, 266.181818, 258.628571, 264.389247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 300.0, "volume": 167613, "typical_volume": 110105.75, "trend": 274.75, "fair_value": 346.25, "relative_strength": -0.681521, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 43.483037, "energy": 72.895285, "activity_lines": [ 289.833333, 273.590909, 262.602381, 266.052688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 300.0, "volume": 100576, "typical_volume": 110900.4, "trend": 275.283333, "fair_value": 345.320513, "relative_strength": -1.499334, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.372486, "energy": 73.34672, "activity_lines": [ 296.0, 280.181818, 266.557143, 267.68172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 307.5, "volume": 88098, "typical_volume": 111828.4, "trend": 275.466667, "fair_value": 344.487179, "relative_strength": 0.182806, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 49.937405, "energy": 77.757785, "activity_lines": [ 301.666667, 287.318182, 271.183333, 269.760215 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 307.5, "volume": 65693, "typical_volume": 104117.9, "trend": 274.85, "fair_value": 343.701923, "relative_strength": 0.280619, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 44.639581, "energy": 71.925984, "activity_lines": [ 304.833333, 293.363636, 275.607143, 271.826882 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }