{ "ticker": { "uuid": "139ebbeb-99aa-4f4a-a790-b9f38766f316", "symbol": "300547", "name": "Sichuan Chuanhuan Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.448, "architecture_energy": 77.875, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 85.329, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.58, "rotation_up": 11.07, "upward_expansion": 20.58, "deceleration": 34.19, "rotation_down": 75.05, "downward_expansion": 91.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.850667, 28.928508, 32.365565, 33.479891 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 25.790001, "trend_reference": 34.822635, "distance_from_trend": -0.25939, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26.110436, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.012272, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.754324, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.278803, "excess_performance": -0.286203, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.25939, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047139, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.012272, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.673081, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.327543, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.249165, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.278803, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.501633, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 40220598, "relative_activity": 0.687658, "balance": 0.501633, "dry_up": 0.797882, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.193866, "annualized_volatility": 0.687004, "from_high_reference": -0.559747, "from_low_reference": 0.203453 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.822635, "fair_value_reference": 26.110436, "structural_low": 21.43, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.103301, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.04136, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.288073, "worst_return": -0.072165, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.175122, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.094312, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.44055, "worst_return": 0.047422, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.201434, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.276595, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.147734, "worst_return": 0.178285, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"energy": 63.746712, "activity_lines": [ 30.096584, 31.951383, 34.371794, 34.93651 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.76, "volume": 43525320, "typical_volume": 57721159.2, "trend": 35.276302, "fair_value": 26.044062, "relative_strength": -38.06364, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.38012, "energy": 80.142757, "activity_lines": [ 27.1422, 29.989581, 33.200179, 34.09191 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.790001, "volume": 40220598, "typical_volume": 58489206.6, "trend": 34.822635, "fair_value": 26.110436, "relative_strength": -32.754324, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.447765, "energy": 77.874694, "activity_lines": [ 25.850667, 28.928508, 32.365565, 33.479891 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }