{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "13a88ed5-948a-4bbc-8e95-bfd939d235e4",
    "symbol": "PGC",
    "name": "Paragon Care Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -64.819,
    "architecture_energy": 53.212,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.15,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.55,
        "rotation_up": 20.38,
        "upward_expansion": 8.17,
        "deceleration": 47.9,
        "rotation_down": 59.18,
        "downward_expansion": 81.51
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.132333,
        0.137091,
        0.143643,
        0.153108
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.13,
    "trend_reference": 0.167833,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.225422,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.312991,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.584652,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -44.169288,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.333333,
    "excess_performance": -0.397039,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.225422,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.19697,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.584652,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.052727,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.441693,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030808,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.333333,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.596688,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2573815,
      "relative_activity": 1.191839,
      "balance": 0.596688,
      "dry_up": 1.237247,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.116864,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.550355,
      "from_high_reference": -0.682927,
      "from_low_reference": 0.04
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.167833,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.312991,
      "structural_low": 0.125,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": -0.056061,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.566667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.061324,
        "regime_survival": 0.933333,
        "best_return": 0.301589,
        "worst_return": -0.271186,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.152105,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.143873,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
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        "worst_return": -0.298701,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.300675,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.37037,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.938813,
        "worst_return": -0.575,
        "sufficient": false
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        "color": "amber",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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          0.141,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.125,
        "volume": 2776261,
        "typical_volume": 2132932.6,
        "trend": 0.171667,
        "fair_value": 0.313488,
        "relative_strength": -45.854575,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -76.437364,
        "energy": 56.224098,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.135667,
          0.139545,
          0.146024,
          0.155796
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.13,
        "volume": 2573815,
        "typical_volume": 2159532.95,
        "trend": 0.167833,
        "fair_value": 0.312991,
        "relative_strength": -44.169288,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 53.211909,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}