{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "13ba6464-227a-4acc-9c4d-5437d377fce3",
    "symbol": "ONTO",
    "name": "Onto Innovation Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 34.734,
    "architecture_energy": 20.381,
    "architecture_maturity": 75.054,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.479,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 45.48,
        "rotation_up": 27.39,
        "upward_expansion": 55.64,
        "deceleration": 88.1,
        "rotation_down": 32.9,
        "downward_expansion": 19.3
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        284.988,
        294.811455,
        290.582857,
        276.200086
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 308.3,
    "trend_reference": 256.339333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.202703,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 175.400897,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.757688,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 35.88292,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.478657,
    "excess_performance": 0.353032,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.202703,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.23427,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.757688,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017447,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.358829,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.277748,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.478657,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.446188,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6816871,
      "relative_activity": 1.213432,
      "balance": 0.446188,
      "dry_up": 1.064567,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 6
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.167234,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.657226,
      "from_high_reference": -0.202246,
      "from_low_reference": 2.052475
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 256.339333,
      "fair_value_reference": 175.400897,
      "structural_low": 175.49,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 37,
        "median_return": 0.048854,
        "positive_rate": 0.648649,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.648649,
        "median_excess_return": 0.026583,
        "regime_survival": 0.864865,
        "best_return": 0.248076,
        "worst_return": -0.158496,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.846154,
        "best_return": 0.643609,
        "worst_return": -0.23766,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "worst_return": -0.323777,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 5295276.4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 258.58,
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        "typical_volume": 5489753.2,
        "trend": 252.384333,
        "fair_value": 174.129744,
        "relative_strength": 19.819655,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.138126,
        "energy": 15.420608,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 308.3,
        "volume": 6816871,
        "typical_volume": 5617843.65,
        "trend": 256.339333,
        "fair_value": 175.400897,
        "relative_strength": 35.88292,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 34.734006,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}