{ "ticker": { "uuid": "13c08732-33a2-45c7-a557-4cdd6badfd19", "symbol": "DES", "name": "WISDOMTREE TRUST US SMALLCAP DIVIDEND FUND", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.72, "architecture_energy": 57.027, "architecture_maturity": 50.062, "architecture_confidence": 81.758, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.66, "rotation_up": 63.55, "upward_expansion": 84.07, "deceleration": 60.88, "rotation_down": 21.34, "downward_expansion": 8.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.860855, 40.575451, 39.740034, 38.946951 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 41.26, "trend_reference": 37.979963, "distance_from_trend": 0.086362, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 32.283129, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.278067, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.504989, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.10189, "excess_performance": -0.023735, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.086362, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0642, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.278067, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044785, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.02505, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012128, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.10189, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.121685, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 754787, "relative_activity": 1.101147, "balance": 1.121685, "dry_up": 0.835234, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030122, "annualized_volatility": 0.136769, "from_high_reference": -0.014098, "from_low_reference": 0.323697 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.979963, "fair_value_reference": 32.283129, "structural_low": 34.460465, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.002336, "positive_rate": 0.56, "directional_follow_through": 0.56, "median_excess_return": -0.017165, "regime_survival": 0.68, "best_return": 0.067738, "worst_return": -0.127544, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.010016, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.071237, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.136025, "worst_return": -0.058163, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.008295, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.109432, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.062286, "worst_return": -0.102188, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.790825, "energy": 75.339027, "activity_lines": [ 40.443861, 39.918791, 39.012557, 38.299351 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 40.735421, "volume": 387123, "typical_volume": 678614.55, "trend": 37.523621, "fair_value": 32.116516, "relative_strength": 6.228144, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.573343, "energy": 58.536055, "activity_lines": [ 40.596906, 40.166988, 39.2665, 38.521614 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.62, "volume": 524483, "typical_volume": 673892.05, "trend": 37.763663, "fair_value": 32.197178, "relative_strength": 4.603623, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.744546, "energy": 53.815205, "activity_lines": [ 40.617701, 40.334146, 39.486154, 38.721381 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.26, "volume": 754787, "typical_volume": 685455.45, "trend": 37.979963, "fair_value": 32.283129, "relative_strength": 2.504989, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.72006, "energy": 57.026707, "activity_lines": [ 40.860855, 40.575451, 39.740034, 38.946951 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }