{ "ticker": { "uuid": "13d2ab49-70c7-47ee-ba4b-15f6d6531940", "symbol": "301448", "name": "Keystone Electrical (Zhejiang) Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -4.267, "architecture_energy": 4.2, "architecture_maturity": 20.826, "architecture_confidence": 44.665, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.14, "rotation_up": 32.77, "upward_expansion": 23.03, "deceleration": 57.16, "rotation_down": 35.05, "downward_expansion": 35.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.473332, 41.087454, 39.960857, 40.040774 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 41.759998, "trend_reference": 40.995333, "distance_from_trend": 0.018652, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 30.261269, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.379982, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.403631, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.044612, "excess_performance": -0.052012, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.018652, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.126284, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.379982, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010216, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.134036, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.091566, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.044612, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.434095, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9514853, "relative_activity": 1.679268, "balance": 1.434095, "dry_up": 1.856203, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.143254, "annualized_volatility": 0.504219, "from_high_reference": -0.403343, "from_low_reference": 0.484536 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 40.995333, "fair_value_reference": 30.261269, "structural_low": 32.32, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.00295, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.008597, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.00295, "worst_return": 0.00295, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.330044, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.187104, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.330044, "worst_return": 0.330044, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 1.62092, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 1.322634, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.62092, "worst_return": 1.62092, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 5666072.15, "trend": 40.995333, "fair_value": 30.261269, "relative_strength": -13.403631, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -4.266807, "energy": 4.200202, "activity_lines": [ 40.473332, 41.087454, 39.960857, 40.040774 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }