{ "ticker": { "uuid": "13d58c3b-fc66-4b6c-9df6-33bf3114d5f5", "symbol": "XMUS", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI USA Swap UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.693, "architecture_energy": 56.821, "architecture_maturity": 80.518, "architecture_confidence": 66.653, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.3, "rotation_up": 48.95, "upward_expansion": 80.06, "deceleration": 71.42, "rotation_down": 29.16, "downward_expansion": 9.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 16865.666667, 16829.736364, 16659.671429, 16323.11828 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 17257.5, "trend_reference": 15920.783333, "distance_from_trend": 0.08396, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13440.660006, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.283977, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.986963, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.142767, "excess_performance": 0.091532, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.08396, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033342, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.283977, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026364, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.01987, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011368, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.142767, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.077026, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14265, "relative_activity": 1.286834, "balance": 2.077026, "dry_up": 1.098116, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018934, "annualized_volatility": 0.122969, "from_high_reference": -0.149121, "from_low_reference": 0.229867 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15920.783333, "fair_value_reference": 13440.660006, 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15981.162366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 16891.5, "volume": 6285, "typical_volume": 11765.3, "trend": 15719.116667, "fair_value": 13272.227314, "relative_strength": 3.71166, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.112173, "energy": 65.672355, "activity_lines": [ 16835.633333, 16792.072727, 16379.852381, 16060.326882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 16679.5, "volume": 19091, "typical_volume": 12449.65, "trend": 15766.633333, "fair_value": 13313.486929, "relative_strength": 1.386793, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.663181, "energy": 60.333554, "activity_lines": [ 16792.7, 16784.754545, 16448.035714, 16122.287097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 16753.0, "volume": 8264, "typical_volume": 12430.1, "trend": 15815.783333, "fair_value": 13354.733724, "relative_strength": 0.533405, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.781315, "energy": 55.515707, "activity_lines": [ 16770.833333, 16781.927273, 16516.266667, 16185.923656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16547.0, "volume": 7072, "typical_volume": 11700.45, "trend": 15862.2, "fair_value": 13395.041416, "relative_strength": -1.878898, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.452317, "energy": 43.359354, "activity_lines": [ 16694.9, 16740.036364, 16557.819048, 16233.098925 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17257.5, "volume": 14265, "typical_volume": 11085.35, "trend": 15920.783333, "fair_value": 13440.660006, "relative_strength": 1.986963, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.693434, "energy": 56.820575, "activity_lines": [ 16865.666667, 16829.736364, 16659.671429, 16323.11828 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }