{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "13d7ac40-ea4c-47b3-bcb1-a83ac0734794",
    "symbol": "TTD",
    "name": "The Trade Desk, Inc.",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -88.464,
    "architecture_energy": 73.888,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.453,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.53,
        "rotation_up": 14.29,
        "upward_expansion": 12.66,
        "deceleration": 44.36,
        "rotation_down": 74.25,
        "downward_expansion": 85.99
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        14.462667,
        15.326727,
        16.527029,
        17.658787
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 12.02,
    "trend_reference": 19.7083,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.390105,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 62.706212,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.808312,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -66.368461,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.470485,
    "excess_performance": -0.644731,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.390105,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.231439,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.808312,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089033,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.663685,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.050862,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.470485,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.667212,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5219,
      "relative_activity": 4.952788,
      "balance": 0.667212,
      "dry_up": 4.165125,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.15135,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.6242,
      "from_high_reference": -0.749348,
      "from_low_reference": 0.091735
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 19.7083,
      "fair_value_reference": 62.706212,
      "structural_low": 11.01,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": -0.032115,
        "positive_rate": 0.423077,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.576923,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025309,
        "regime_survival": 0.846154,
        "best_return": 0.682032,
        "worst_return": -0.293034,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.051699,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.019108,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.367695,
        "worst_return": -0.414435,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.02355,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.187673,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.394943,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.042424,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.031999,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 1.045775,
        "worst_return": -0.524703,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-12-08",
        "end": "2024-02-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.047186,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-02-16",
        "end": "2024-03-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.037636,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-04-05",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.064755,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.108272,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.026209,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.302118,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.027125,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-03-07",
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        "return": -0.226344,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.253479,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.061651,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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          24.562692
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 18.889999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 139.65,
        "trend": 28.2313,
        "fair_value": 67.291212,
        "relative_strength": -61.282308,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.082534,
        "energy": 51.121881,
        "activity_lines": [
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          21.243681,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 17.780001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 139.65,
        "trend": 27.394133,
        "fair_value": 67.008647,
        "relative_strength": -62.321043,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.607759,
        "energy": 52.684272,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.954667,
          19.097891,
          20.68609,
          23.225482
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 19.190001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 138.15,
        "trend": 26.471633,
        "fair_value": 66.727237,
        "relative_strength": -59.068906,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.897134,
        "energy": 45.739076,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.936,
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          20.328024,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 18.57,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 117.55,
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        "fair_value": 66.385186,
        "relative_strength": -60.302536,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.055532,
        "energy": 47.953632,
        "activity_lines": [
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          18.920109,
          19.972219,
          22.1864
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 17.65,
        "volume": 151,
        "typical_volume": 125.1,
        "trend": 24.946633,
        "fair_value": 66.055378,
        "relative_strength": -60.770167,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.605039,
        "energy": 56.466642,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.303334,
          18.688764,
          19.593462,
          21.670714
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 16.139999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 108.2,
        "trend": 24.271133,
        "fair_value": 65.711083,
        "relative_strength": -64.073254,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -78.833458,
        "energy": 65.950076,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 16.299999,
        "volume": 12,
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        "trend": 23.6898,
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        "relative_strength": -64.130497,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.751012,
        "energy": 80.964607,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.022666,
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          18.76109,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 15.9,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 93.4,
        "trend": 23.074467,
        "fair_value": 65.015635,
        "relative_strength": -63.225637,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.184501,
        "energy": 85.060767,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.466,
          17.342363,
          18.394143,
          20.08571
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 16.67,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 78.0,
        "trend": 22.473967,
        "fair_value": 64.679545,
        "relative_strength": -61.074453,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.867411,
        "energy": 72.641521,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.385333,
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          18.132909,
          19.672518
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 17.280001,
        "volume": 2671,
        "typical_volume": 196.15,
        "trend": 21.9993,
        "fair_value": 64.279865,
        "relative_strength": -57.695975,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.711192,
        "energy": 55.02137,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.634667,
          17.009455,
          17.954533,
          19.337424
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 16.120001,
        "volume": 1401,
        "typical_volume": 261.7,
        "trend": 21.476467,
        "fair_value": 63.894545,
        "relative_strength": -58.153276,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.839382,
        "energy": 54.211795,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.522001,
          16.77,
          17.686157,
          18.958114
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 15.2,
        "volume": 5459,
        "typical_volume": 519.25,
        "trend": 20.9338,
        "fair_value": 63.467173,
        "relative_strength": -59.367019,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.07878,
        "energy": 55.2,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.104,
          16.413637,
          17.34921,
          18.553181
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 15.43,
        "volume": 5477,
        "typical_volume": 793.1,
        "trend": 20.3793,
        "fair_value": 63.067686,
        "relative_strength": -56.749802,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.914093,
        "energy": 51.924713,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.836,
          16.146,
          17.081119,
          18.198097
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 12.02,
        "volume": 5219,
        "typical_volume": 1053.75,
        "trend": 19.7083,
        "fair_value": 62.706212,
        "relative_strength": -66.368461,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -88.463614,
        "energy": 73.887931,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.462667,
          15.326727,
          16.527029,
          17.658787
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}