{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "13d92416-134f-4c54-8d7c-a3763667b53e",
    "symbol": "EDM4",
    "name": "iShares MSCI EMU CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETF EUR Acc",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 78.374,
    "architecture_energy": 57.02,
    "architecture_maturity": 56.871,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.884,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.63,
        "rotation_up": 51.41,
        "upward_expansion": 79.88,
        "deceleration": 67.13,
        "rotation_down": 27.22,
        "downward_expansion": 8.88
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        10.4968,
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        10.276843,
        10.088531
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 10.712,
    "trend_reference": 9.894467,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.082625,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 8.262019,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.296535,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.819817,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.101604,
    "excess_performance": 0.036965,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082625,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041424,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.296535,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066944,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038198,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.02259,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101604,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.662163,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 823721,
      "relative_activity": 0.850049,
      "balance": 1.662163,
      "dry_up": 1.04679,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023403,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.176084,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005939,
      "from_low_reference": 0.249942
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 9.894467,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.262019,
      "structural_low": 8.737,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 42,
        "median_return": 0.005433,
        "positive_rate": 0.595238,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.595238,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001993,
        "regime_survival": 0.785714,
        "best_return": 0.093878,
        "worst_return": -0.071581,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "worst_return": -0.049319,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.057532,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.176044,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.13169,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 994368.75,
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        "relative_strength": 5.870593,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 60.310711,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 10.454,
        "volume": 1532518,
        "typical_volume": 1003319.95,
        "trend": 9.858967,
        "fair_value": 8.236218,
        "relative_strength": 4.277639,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.874927,
        "energy": 45.70206,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.712,
        "volume": 823721,
        "typical_volume": 969027.45,
        "trend": 9.894467,
        "fair_value": 8.262019,
        "relative_strength": 3.819817,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.37448,
        "energy": 57.020122,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}