{ "ticker": { "uuid": "13e03cb9-bf64-475f-819c-4fe85c253b3b", "symbol": "Z1TS34", "name": "Zoetis Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -81.131, "architecture_energy": 89.222, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.68, "rotation_up": 29.97, "upward_expansion": 21.12, "deceleration": 37.45, "rotation_down": 60.91, "downward_expansion": 96.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.799713, 24.112329, 25.618662, 28.445638 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 23.040001, "trend_reference": 32.331273, "distance_from_trend": -0.287377, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 50.946308, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.547759, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -42.831162, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.443939, "excess_performance": -0.386891, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.287377, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.147461, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.547759, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016953, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.428312, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.116934, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.443939, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.146893, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23311, "relative_activity": 1.196955, "balance": 0.146893, "dry_up": 3.256479, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.055878, "annualized_volatility": 0.544188, "from_high_reference": -0.567644, "from_low_reference": 0.003922 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.331273, "fair_value_reference": 50.946308, "structural_low": 22.950001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.022844, "positive_rate": 0.433333, "directional_follow_through": 0.566667, "median_excess_return": -0.0198, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 0.170819, "worst_return": -0.380688, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.026498, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.068568, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.22163, "worst_return": -0.383417, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.05275, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.10038, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.271106, "worst_return": -0.222092, "sufficient": true }, { 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-70.289105, "energy": 66.256384, "activity_lines": [ 24.419669, 24.699462, 27.980379, 31.023464 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 24.299999, "volume": 7245, "typical_volume": 7211.65, "trend": 34.198284, "fair_value": 51.546991, "relative_strength": -43.53862, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.083533, "energy": 65.235839, "activity_lines": [ 24.30613, 24.616133, 27.312325, 30.345733 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 23.639999, "volume": 217296, "typical_volume": 18042.15, "trend": 33.545558, "fair_value": 51.347206, "relative_strength": -44.054979, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.666866, "energy": 66.318762, "activity_lines": [ 24.02927, 24.424986, 26.665665, 29.664553 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.57, "volume": 5831, "typical_volume": 18310.2, "trend": 32.957621, "fair_value": 51.164586, "relative_strength": -42.027422, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.727674, "energy": 62.468519, "activity_lines": [ 24.17835, 24.398749, 26.183909, 29.085485 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.040001, "volume": 23311, "typical_volume": 19475.25, "trend": 32.331273, "fair_value": 50.946308, "relative_strength": -42.831162, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.131408, "energy": 89.222488, "activity_lines": [ 23.799713, 24.112329, 25.618662, 28.445638 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }