{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "13e0a646-3416-45e0-a0e6-52d8bc349c59",
    "symbol": "EXIC",
    "name": "iShares Core DAX UCITS ETF (DE) EUR (Dist)",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 58.049,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 82.497,
    "architecture_energy": 71.845,
    "architecture_maturity": 15.573,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.066,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.64,
        "rotation_up": 67.3,
        "upward_expansion": 88.19,
        "deceleration": 46.24,
        "rotation_down": 15.66,
        "downward_expansion": 14.86
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 7.487,
    "trend_reference": 6.999432,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.069658,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 5.999695,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.247897,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.295367,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.060303,
    "excess_performance": -0.004337,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069658,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013309,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.247897,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051849,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002954,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000593,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060303,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.811622,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 822975,
      "relative_activity": 1.880024,
      "balance": 0.811622,
      "dry_up": 1.104181,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024434,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.188263,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003063,
      "from_low_reference": 0.197029
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.999432,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.999695,
      "structural_low": 6.254651,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": 0.002314,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000371,
        "regime_survival": 0.78125,
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        "worst_return": -0.115368,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "positive_rate": 0.7,
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        "worst_return": -0.058783,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.012078,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 430671.1,
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        "fair_value": 5.948639,
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 53.150416,
        "energy": 41.820278,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 198389,
        "typical_volume": 418919.05,
        "trend": 6.981121,
        "fair_value": 5.963854,
        "relative_strength": -0.382279,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 55.289938,
        "energy": 46.631088,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.288,
        "volume": 169420,
        "typical_volume": 412114.7,
        "trend": 6.99037,
        "fair_value": 5.981016,
        "relative_strength": -0.340591,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.021928,
        "energy": 43.286931,
        "activity_lines": [
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          7.070242,
          7.012231
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.487,
        "volume": 822975,
        "typical_volume": 437747.05,
        "trend": 6.999432,
        "fair_value": 5.999695,
        "relative_strength": -0.295367,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.497171,
        "energy": 71.845486,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}