{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "13ec7e6d-fe2d-4685-949f-51c59c217522",
    "symbol": "ISCV",
    "name": "ISHARES TRUST MORNINGSTAR SM-CAP VAL ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 82.267,
    "architecture_energy": 68.511,
    "architecture_maturity": 37.739,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.458,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.69,
        "rotation_up": 73.5,
        "upward_expansion": 89.35,
        "deceleration": 50.54,
        "rotation_down": 18.8,
        "downward_expansion": 11.35
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        75.672626
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 81.2039,
    "trend_reference": 74.040968,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.096743,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 61.681349,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.316507,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.400653,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.100965,
    "excess_performance": -0.02466,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096743,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049932,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.316507,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063451,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024007,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027272,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.100965,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.030628,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 0.938438,
      "balance": 2.030628,
      "dry_up": 0.733568,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.02542,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.135721,
      "from_high_reference": -0.010071,
      "from_low_reference": 0.337527
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 61.681349,
      "structural_low": 66.786897,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.00981,
        "positive_rate": 0.607143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.607143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000894,
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        "worst_return": -0.104116,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.06022,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.083589,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 60.999589,
        "relative_strength": 1.751587,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 70930.3,
        "trend": 73.004487,
        "fair_value": 61.168056,
        "relative_strength": 4.521606,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 76.912141,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 78.9572,
        "volume": 45208,
        "typical_volume": 69832.15,
        "trend": 73.3375,
        "fair_value": 61.329508,
        "relative_strength": 4.525679,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 68.929466,
        "energy": 79.107242,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 79.49,
        "volume": 46331,
        "typical_volume": 66776.65,
        "trend": 73.704141,
        "fair_value": 61.49816,
        "relative_strength": 3.919675,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.701097,
        "energy": 64.413187,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 81.2039,
        "volume": 56894,
        "typical_volume": 60626.25,
        "trend": 74.040968,
        "fair_value": 61.681349,
        "relative_strength": 2.400653,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.267428,
        "energy": 68.510961,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}