{ "ticker": { "uuid": "13ef762c-7872-487d-bf71-0fc4e8e7fd28", "symbol": "SVPGLOB", "name": "SVP Global Textiles Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 63.385, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 37.803, "architecture_energy": 22.556, "architecture_maturity": 36.17, "architecture_confidence": 86.854, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.54, "rotation_up": 29.39, "upward_expansion": 54.76, "deceleration": 84.78, "rotation_down": 25.24, "downward_expansion": 18.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.855333, 3.873818, 3.833762, 3.63843 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3.9, "trend_reference": 3.433667, "distance_from_trend": 0.135812, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.41891, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.280298, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.786798, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.147059, "excess_performance": 0.190768, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.135812, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042302, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.280298, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005984, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.077868, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.169208, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.147059, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.402907, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 233704, "relative_activity": 0.838122, "balance": 0.402907, "dry_up": 0.733441, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096055, "annualized_volatility": 0.578799, "from_high_reference": -0.433962, "from_low_reference": 0.788991 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.433667, "fair_value_reference": 5.41891, "structural_low": 2.18, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.227621, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.18934, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.227621, "worst_return": -0.227621, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.388747, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.251426, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.388747, "worst_return": -0.388747, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.012788, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.065367, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.012788, "worst_return": -0.012788, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-03-29", "end": "2024-08-02", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.183471, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-09", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.139946, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.023295, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.446128, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.080357, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.047354, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.074928, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.419448, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.207161, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.02649, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.477509, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.018088, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.007772, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.007752, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 8.95, "volume": 362954, "typical_volume": 2045700.65, "trend": 14.368333, "fair_value": 51.558712, "relative_strength": -62.118725, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.860333, "energy": 24.286895, "activity_lines": [ 3.885333, 3.905091, 3.739, 3.55714 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.87, "volume": 164804, "typical_volume": 285719.75, "trend": 3.43, "fair_value": 5.486026, "relative_strength": 10.7944, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.287596, "energy": 22.207476, "activity_lines": [ 3.868667, 3.898, 3.778, 3.585247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.78, "volume": 235124, "typical_volume": 287634.85, "trend": 3.425667, "fair_value": 5.452564, "relative_strength": 5.405644, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.148691, "energy": 19.652534, "activity_lines": [ 3.836667, 3.874545, 3.802857, 3.607828 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.9, "volume": 233704, "typical_volume": 278842.5, "trend": 3.433667, "fair_value": 5.41891, "relative_strength": 7.786798, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.803041, "energy": 22.556342, "activity_lines": [ 3.855333, 3.873818, 3.833762, 3.63843 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }