{ "ticker": { "uuid": "13f10e4e-5122-41a3-97c3-23c28a8469e6", "symbol": "LOCO", "name": "El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 44.149, "architecture_energy": 30.926, "architecture_maturity": 98.29, "architecture_confidence": 83.802, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.32, "rotation_up": 36.87, "upward_expansion": 66.15, "deceleration": 85.32, "rotation_down": 26.57, "downward_expansion": 16.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.950667, 16.128727, 15.487524, 14.804409 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 15.16, "trend_reference": 13.725, "distance_from_trend": 0.104554, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.10375, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.365305, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.635257, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.38574, "excess_performance": 0.198287, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.104554, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.142259, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.365305, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047057, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.086353, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033845, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.38574, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.978136, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1795684, "relative_activity": 1.235298, "balance": 0.978136, "dry_up": 0.804558, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.084306, "annualized_volatility": 0.400271, "from_high_reference": -0.128736, "from_low_reference": 0.687257 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.725, "fair_value_reference": 11.10375, "structural_low": 10.225, "invalidation": "A 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"date": "2026-07-10", "close": 16.65, "volume": 942263, "typical_volume": 1641430.35, "trend": 13.027, "fair_value": 10.959263, "relative_strength": 20.977938, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.409995, "energy": 81.102898, "activity_lines": [ 16.542, 15.798182, 14.920619, 14.100151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 16.59, "volume": 1137508, "typical_volume": 1662699.95, "trend": 13.218333, "fair_value": 11.000417, "relative_strength": 25.158621, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.62, "energy": 66.231544, "activity_lines": [ 16.617333, 16.050545, 15.151143, 14.330022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.93, "volume": 909222, "typical_volume": 1660984.7, "trend": 13.387, "fair_value": 11.03375, "relative_strength": 21.614313, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.403566, "energy": 50.533244, "activity_lines": [ 16.409333, 16.135818, 15.292476, 14.504968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.46, "volume": 835750, "typical_volume": 1549238.6, "trend": 13.591667, "fair_value": 11.07266, "relative_strength": 24.350611, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.825906, "energy": 45.755685, "activity_lines": [ 16.384667, 16.272182, 15.46081, 14.703226 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.16, "volume": 1795684, "typical_volume": 1453643.95, "trend": 13.725, "fair_value": 11.10375, "relative_strength": 8.635257, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.149424, "energy": 30.92559, "activity_lines": [ 15.950667, 16.128727, 15.487524, 14.804409 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }