{ "ticker": { "uuid": "140e20a3-ce23-449b-8f46-7be89941d162", "symbol": "NAMI", "name": "Jinxin Technology Holding Company American Depositary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.38, "architecture_energy": 56.625, "architecture_maturity": 55.391, "architecture_confidence": 91.147, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.77, "rotation_up": 27.23, "upward_expansion": 9.76, "deceleration": 53.05, "rotation_down": 55.81, "downward_expansion": 85.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.513333, 3.830635, 5.660594, 7.527585 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 4.41, "trend_reference": 9.9005, "distance_from_trend": -0.554568, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 36.374076, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.87876, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -75.428433, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.706, "excess_performance": -0.893454, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.554568, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.32206, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.87876, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098692, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.754284, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087359, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.706, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.370487, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 60534112, "relative_activity": 11.149581, "balance": 1.370487, "dry_up": 2.800261, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.508699, "annualized_volatility": 1.313844, "from_high_reference": -0.913951, "from_low_reference": 0.845188 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.9005, "fair_value_reference": 36.374076, "structural_low": 2.39, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.115723, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.117459, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.182306, "worst_return": -0.413752, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.306876, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 111.0, "volume": 2687919, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 98.0, "volume": 1254039, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": 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11.861833, "fair_value": 37.94439, "relative_strength": -81.52525, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.652271, "energy": 81.862885, "activity_lines": [ 4.221497, 5.350133, 7.848367, 9.524542 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.38, "volume": 210452, "typical_volume": 2410135.4, "trend": 11.416083, "fair_value": 37.53775, "relative_strength": -81.997534, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.245028, "energy": 86.835921, "activity_lines": [ 3.765332, 4.811088, 7.240391, 8.977327 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.04, "volume": 34965, "typical_volume": 2409069.0, "trend": 10.903083, "fair_value": 37.136613, "relative_strength": -83.0595, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.886934, "energy": 87.37127, "activity_lines": [ 3.394667, 4.315816, 6.636451, 8.436935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.76, "volume": 33984, "typical_volume": 2408278.65, "trend": 10.361833, "fair_value": 36.74148, "relative_strength": -84.285506, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.820486, "energy": 87.169454, "activity_lines": [ 3.146, 3.880589, 6.04907, 7.911574 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.41, "volume": 60534112, "typical_volume": 5429272.15, "trend": 9.9005, "fair_value": 36.374076, "relative_strength": -75.428433, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.380443, "energy": 56.625152, "activity_lines": [ 3.513333, 3.830635, 5.660594, 7.527585 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }