{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1417552f-f1cf-4d28-8cad-98f84ed3fc52", "symbol": "ALLHB", "name": "Les H\u00f4tels Baverez S.A.", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 53.9, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -9.461, "architecture_energy": 35.317, "architecture_maturity": 4.887, "architecture_confidence": 49.379, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.26, "rotation_up": 19.23, "upward_expansion": 25.03, "deceleration": 48.33, "rotation_down": 55.81, "downward_expansion": 50.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 73.8, 74.167165, 74.606231, 74.483799 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 75.0, "trend_reference": 74.177193, "distance_from_trend": 0.011092, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 70.205408, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.068294, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.466717, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.034483, "excess_performance": -0.018829, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.011092, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004333, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.068294, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028702, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.064667, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060845, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.034483, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.038217, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1, "relative_activity": 0.001724, "balance": 0.038217, "dry_up": 0.166825, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016585, "annualized_volatility": 0.116187, "from_high_reference": -0.117647, "from_low_reference": 0.041667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 74.177193, "fair_value_reference": 70.205408, "structural_low": 72.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below 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74.637336 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 75.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 648.05, "trend": 74.177193, "fair_value": 69.801434, "relative_strength": -5.113605, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.593619, "energy": 45.108252, "activity_lines": [ 75.646273, 75.485994, 75.161369, 74.692571 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 72.5, "volume": 390, "typical_volume": 620.05, "trend": 74.14386, "fair_value": 69.884719, "relative_strength": -6.281906, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": -4.96731, "energy": 6.761247, "activity_lines": [ 74.606272, 74.947668, 74.957485, 74.584365 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 73.5, "volume": 23, "typical_volume": 619.65, "trend": 74.14386, "fair_value": 69.974415, "relative_strength": -4.860115, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.46227, "energy": 21.492096, "activity_lines": [ 74.046535, 74.649343, 74.848838, 74.542825 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 73.5, "volume": 130, "typical_volume": 600.75, "trend": 74.14386, "fair_value": 70.06411, "relative_strength": -5.121804, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.800442, "energy": 31.283941, "activity_lines": [ 73.666667, 74.391017, 74.735429, 74.501286 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 73.0, "volume": 233, "typical_volume": 594.45, "trend": 74.127193, "fair_value": 70.128349, "relative_strength": -6.999756, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.14274, "energy": 47.330516, "activity_lines": [ 73.3, 74.081783, 74.574402, 74.427489 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 75.0, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 579.95, "trend": 74.177193, "fair_value": 70.205408, "relative_strength": -6.466717, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -9.460674, "energy": 35.316711, "activity_lines": [ 73.8, 74.167165, 74.606231, 74.483799 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }