{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1423540e-37d1-472f-a3e5-d1d23f82d606", "symbol": "BRKA", "name": "Berkshire Hathaway Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 58.648, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.173, "architecture_energy": 68.066, "architecture_maturity": 13.355, "architecture_confidence": 60.068, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.2, "rotation_up": 68.86, "upward_expansion": 83.24, "deceleration": 55.66, "rotation_down": 13.48, "downward_expansion": 12.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 663766.666667, 657990.909091, 642990.47619, 637192.473118 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 674000.0, "trend_reference": 631716.666667, "distance_from_trend": 0.066934, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 610714.74359, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.103625, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.794234, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.050663, "excess_performance": -0.123584, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.066934, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00193, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.103625, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081158, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.137942, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049869, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.050663, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": null, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": null, "balance": null, "dry_up": null, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.022141, "annualized_volatility": 0.116629, "from_high_reference": -0.011005, "from_low_reference": 0.137553 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 631716.666667, "fair_value_reference": 610714.74359, "structural_low": 597000.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": 0.01278, "positive_rate": 0.628571, "directional_follow_through": 0.628571, "median_excess_return": -0.013998, "regime_survival": 0.771429, "best_return": 0.090261, "worst_return": -0.066804, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.037418, "positive_rate": 0.785714, "directional_follow_through": 0.785714, "median_excess_return": -0.008132, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.137136, "worst_return": -0.126647, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.072696, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.051799, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.160563, "worst_return": -0.120206, "sufficient": 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expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.801281, "energy": 73.661031, "activity_lines": [ 654533.333333, 647618.181818, 635140.47619, 631981.72043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 667000.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 630616.666667, "fair_value": 609570.512821, "relative_strength": -12.474734, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.091176, "energy": 58.863523, "activity_lines": [ 658433.333333, 652536.363636, 638783.333333, 634393.548387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 674000.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 631716.666667, "fair_value": 610714.74359, "relative_strength": -13.794234, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.172524, "energy": 68.065797, "activity_lines": [ 663766.666667, 657990.909091, 642990.47619, 637192.473118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }