{ "ticker": { "uuid": "142eacee-bdad-470a-b3ed-cd24d7b68ceb", "symbol": "TSEM", "name": "Tower Semiconductor Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 25.666, "architecture_energy": 12.359, "architecture_maturity": 53.06, "architecture_confidence": 95.597, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.54, "rotation_up": 28.3, "upward_expansion": 46.95, "deceleration": 83.16, "rotation_down": 23.74, "downward_expansion": 24.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 235.479333, 237.464, 239.963429, 224.207011 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 252.49, "trend_reference": 199.056, "distance_from_trend": 0.268437, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 75.617051, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.339062, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 50.140003, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.815952, "excess_performance": 0.628499, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.268437, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.282638, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.339062, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.294421, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.5014, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.293413, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.815952, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.694744, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17561031, "relative_activity": 1.499806, "balance": 1.694744, "dry_up": 0.990105, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.210971, "annualized_volatility": 0.802023, "from_high_reference": -0.210821, "from_low_reference": 4.548011 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 199.056, "fair_value_reference": 75.617051, "structural_low": 108.43, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.084794, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.082214, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.632507, "worst_return": -0.181818, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.113472, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.066662, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 1.108251, "worst_return": -0.136889, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.190452, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.054178, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.38105, "worst_return": -0.123918, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"gate": "up", "direction": 32.700146, "energy": 19.64386, "activity_lines": [ 233.680667, 244.200182, 236.560905, 215.699785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 233.37, "volume": 6237025, "typical_volume": 12139748.65, "trend": 191.376333, "fair_value": 73.045962, "relative_strength": 53.006833, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.924198, "energy": 18.377642, "activity_lines": [ 230.634, 240.747636, 238.063524, 218.649398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 219.67, "volume": 8975866, "typical_volume": 12007758.45, "trend": 194.640667, "fair_value": 74.218718, "relative_strength": 40.351482, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.394049, "energy": 11.742255, "activity_lines": [ 226.578667, 235.542545, 237.676714, 220.474796 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 252.49, "volume": 17561031, "typical_volume": 11708869.25, "trend": 199.056, "fair_value": 75.617051, "relative_strength": 50.140003, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.665541, "energy": 12.358725, "activity_lines": [ 235.479333, 237.464, 239.963429, 224.207011 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }