{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1455bb48-5700-432b-8a69-25791d3d14f7", "symbol": "XDWF", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI World Financials UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.017, "architecture_energy": 91.682, "architecture_maturity": 31.466, "architecture_confidence": 80.917, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.35, "rotation_up": 84.17, "upward_expansion": 99.37, "deceleration": 39.29, "rotation_down": 10.94, "downward_expansion": 21.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 42.152667, 41.473182, 40.013928, 39.02314 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 42.535, "trend_reference": 38.0345, "distance_from_trend": 0.118327, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 31.541667, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.348534, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.075848, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.134267, "excess_performance": 0.069627, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.118327, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0384, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.348534, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.117608, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.060758, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033394, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.134267, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 10.749974, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 113588, "relative_activity": 1.175136, "balance": 10.749974, "dry_up": 1.174758, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019034, "annualized_volatility": 0.128689, "from_high_reference": -0.011389, "from_low_reference": 0.25398 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 38.0345, "fair_value_reference": 31.541667, "structural_low": 34.330002, "invalidation": "A 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"typical_volume": 94408.05, "trend": 37.426667, "fair_value": 31.038269, "relative_strength": 9.389534, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.535948, "energy": 95.139054, "activity_lines": [ 40.576, 39.614, 38.412547, 37.869882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 41.735001, "volume": 75636, "typical_volume": 93984.45, "trend": 37.577833, "fair_value": 31.161987, "relative_strength": 11.220125, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.966571, "energy": 95.142917, "activity_lines": [ 41.098667, 40.136818, 38.816167, 38.147839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 42.09, "volume": 165508, "typical_volume": 96439.65, "trend": 37.732333, "fair_value": 31.286026, "relative_strength": 10.615482, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.483664, "energy": 94.73389, "activity_lines": [ 41.55, 40.637364, 39.229381, 38.438946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 42.145, "volume": 99474, "typical_volume": 95271.45, "trend": 37.892667, "fair_value": 31.412404, "relative_strength": 8.195689, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.44911, "energy": 92.027284, "activity_lines": [ 41.861333, 41.057727, 39.619524, 38.723634 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.535, "volume": 113588, "typical_volume": 96659.45, "trend": 38.0345, "fair_value": 31.541667, "relative_strength": 6.075848, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.017395, "energy": 91.682473, "activity_lines": [ 42.152667, 41.473182, 40.013928, 39.02314 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }