{ "ticker": { "uuid": "145a7f20-1808-408f-9b21-1f96afcb63d0", "symbol": "DAYM11", "name": "Daycoval Real Estate Multiestrategia Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario De Resp Ltd.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 62.357, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -30.761, "architecture_energy": 40.392, "architecture_maturity": 16.383, "architecture_confidence": 62.051, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.43, "rotation_up": 22.7, "upward_expansion": 18.32, "deceleration": 42.64, "rotation_down": 59.24, "downward_expansion": 57.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.929503, 3.971614, 4.026099, 4.034654 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.9, "trend_reference": 4.019751, "distance_from_trend": -0.029791, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.06198, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.039877, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.222731, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.035423, "excess_performance": 0.021626, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.029791, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000703, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.039877, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054116, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.072227, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052692, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.035423, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.147542, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29954, "relative_activity": 3.773566, "balance": 0.147542, "dry_up": 2.319866, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047156, "annualized_volatility": 0.144048, "from_high_reference": -0.099471, "from_low_reference": 0.155427 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.019751, "fair_value_reference": 4.06198, "structural_low": 3.429446, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.001633, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.022321, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.099744, "worst_return": -0.040808, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.051231, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.007027, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.166991, "worst_return": -0.016791, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.187848, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.065033, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.27254, "worst_return": 0.103156, "sufficient": false }, { 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"trend": 4.017893, "fair_value": 4.073573, "relative_strength": -7.707725, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.551678, "energy": 5.879668, "activity_lines": [ 4.027482, 4.040012, 4.069841, 4.053734 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.95, "volume": 1756, "typical_volume": 5616.35, "trend": 4.014418, "fair_value": 4.069946, "relative_strength": -8.34985, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.936163, "energy": 12.539834, "activity_lines": [ 3.999552, 4.018342, 4.058156, 4.049353 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.9, "volume": 18273, "typical_volume": 6466.5, "trend": 4.013419, "fair_value": 4.065892, "relative_strength": -10.715296, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.729158, "energy": 33.16963, "activity_lines": [ 3.960446, 3.992227, 4.041908, 4.041972 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.9, "volume": 29954, "typical_volume": 7937.85, "trend": 4.019751, "fair_value": 4.06198, "relative_strength": -7.222731, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.761106, "energy": 40.392476, "activity_lines": [ 3.929503, 3.971614, 4.026099, 4.034654 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }